TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12381926
Played Aug 8Finished
Andrii Melchenko
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115411611––
Andrey Troyan
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAndrii Melchenko above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11
67 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Melchenko 2–1 Andrey Troyan Andrey Troyan has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Melchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelchenko 1.65 / Troyan 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Melchenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12381926
Melchenko1.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Troyan2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 59 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMelchenko2wins
AwayTroyan1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMelchenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelchenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayTroyann = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melchenko3Troyan0n = 3Melchenko took 3 of 3
S2Melchenko1Troyan2n = 3Troyan took 2 of 3
S3Melchenko1Troyan2n = 3Troyan took 2 of 3
S4Melchenko1Troyan2n = 3Troyan took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMelchenkoTroyanM − TBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match42.739.0+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelchenkoTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 45 vs 459 / 97644.4%47%20 / 45 vs 459 / 976Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelchenkoMelchenko 1.65/Troyan 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56%
Melchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 8 · 06:35A. Melchenko—1211510113A. Troyan—106111262
LMar 28 · 12:05A. Melchenko—111010101A. Troyan—91212123
WFeb 2 · 10:30A. Melchenko—11511113A. Troyan—511741
A. Melchenko10
WAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113LAug 29 · 10:35A. Melchenko1.737990Y. Kovshun2.001111113LAug 29 · 08:35A. Troyan1.83111111113A. Melchenko1.83871391LAug 29 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.5011116113A. Melchenko2.50871191LAug 29 · 05:35A. Kotiash1.8311118113A. Melchenko1.83791191LAug 8 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.801111123A. Melchenko1.9146100LAug 8 · 07:35A. Melchenko1.61811101222A. Lobanov2.201191210113WAug 8 · 06:35A. Troyan2.00106111262A. Melchenko1.731211510113WAug 8 · 05:35A. Melchenko1.67611144123O. Volynets2.101171211102WApr 26 · 12:50B. Zaika2.38148991A. Melchenko1.53121111113
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WAug 29 · 08:35A. Troyan1.83111111113A. Melchenko1.83871391LAug 8 · 06:35A. Troyan2.00106111262A. Melchenko1.731211510113
Upcoming Matches
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A. Troyan
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