TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378726
Played Aug 8Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141161210––––
Andrii Melchenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Andrii Melchenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 2–0 Andrii Melchenko Andrii Melchenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1728 vs Melchenko 1558
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Melchenko 80%
Melchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 80% vs Melchenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -2 · Melchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.80 / Melchenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12378726
Volkov1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 141 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it81% 104 of 128
Melchenko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVolkov2wins
AwayMelchenko0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVolkov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVolkovMelchenkoV − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.534.5+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovMelchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 795 vs 20 / 4553%44.4%421 / 795 vs 20 / 45Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.80/Melchenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJan 25 · 11:40Y. Volkov—9101111113A. Melchenko—11126882
WOct 4 · 08:20Y. Volkov—1111113A. Melchenko—7890
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113
A. Melchenko10
WAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113LAug 29 · 10:35A. Melchenko1.737990Y. Kovshun2.001111113LAug 29 · 08:35A. Troyan1.83111111113A. Melchenko1.83871391LAug 29 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.5011116113A. Melchenko2.50871191LAug 29 · 05:35A. Kotiash1.8311118113A. Melchenko1.83791191LAug 8 · 10:08A. Melchenko1.65811461A. Troyan2.1011511113LAug 8 · 07:35A. Melchenko1.61811101222A. Lobanov2.201191210113WAug 8 · 06:35A. Troyan2.00106111262A. Melchenko1.731211510113WAug 8 · 05:35A. Melchenko1.67611144123O. Volynets2.101171211102WApr 26 · 12:50B. Zaika2.38148991A. Melchenko1.53121111113
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