TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361094
Played Aug 5Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117114119––
Ales Bayer
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMilan Klement to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Ales Bayer below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Milan Klement at 57.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 15–11 Ales Bayer Ales Bayer has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:56What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Klement
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Klement
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1686 vs Bayer 1682
Klement
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 40% vs Bayer 60%
Bayer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 40% vs Bayer 70%
Bayer
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement +1 · Bayer +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bayer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.61 / Bayer 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Klement)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361094
Klement1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 110 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it88% 59 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it73% 83 of 114
Bayer2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 145 of 366
Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlement7wins
AwayBayer3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKlement leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement75%3 of 4
AwayBayer33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement4Bayer6n = 10Bayer took 6 of 10
S2Klement7Bayer3n = 10Klement took 7 of 10
S3Klement8Bayer2n = 10Klement took 8 of 10
S4Klement4Bayer3n = 7Klement took 4 of 7
S5Klement2Bayer2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlementBayerK − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.435.7+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementBayerBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 871 vs 452 / 97151.9%46.6%452 / 871 vs 452 / 971Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKlement 1.61/Bayer 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 07:00M. Klement—61111113A. Bayer—117491
WJun 27 · 16:00M. Klement—1111113A. Bayer—7790
WJun 22 · 01:00M. Klement—711118113A. Bayer—11761162
LJun 15 · 01:00M. Klement—146911112A. Bayer—1211119133
WFeb 21 · 14:00M. Klement—111193A. Bayer—7740
LFeb 21 · 12:30M. Klement—71111652A. Bayer—119611113
WJan 20 · 09:00M. Klement—1011117113A. Bayer—12771192
WJan 19 · 01:30M. Klement—11911113A. Bayer—711751
WOct 22 · 01:00M. Klement—41111113A. Bayer—116681
LOct 18 · 03:00M. Klement—9770A. Bayer—1111113
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141
A. Bayer10
LAug 7 · 03:30M. Wagner1.6011119113A. Bayer2.20691151WAug 7 · 02:30A. Bayer1.831411113P. Pycha1.8312590LAug 7 · 01:30M. Wagner1.6114711113A. Bayer2.201211671WAug 7 · 24:00A. Bayer1.611111113M. Sobisek2.209790WAug 6 · 23:00M. Vizek2.50111310742A. Bayer1.509111211113WAug 5 · 08:58A. Bayer1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1065100WAug 5 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.83113100A. Bayer1.831311123WAug 5 · 06:30A. Bayer2.3811112113P. Sebera1.53951181LAug 4 · 03:30A. Bayer2.3891511892J. Hradecky1.531113611113LAug 4 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.737111011113A. Bayer2.0011912682
Upcoming Matches
M. Klement1 of 1 neutral
A. Bayer
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.