TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12366622
Played Aug 6Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11913111012711411
Ales Bayer
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:16 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeAles Bayer to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Ales Bayer below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 99 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Ales Bayer at 66.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 0–5 Ales Bayer Martin Vizek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bayer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Bayer
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1636 vs Bayer 1694
Bayer
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 60% vs Bayer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 60% vs Bayer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek -1 · Bayer +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Bayer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 2.50 / Bayer 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Bayer)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12366622
Vizek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 30 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back34% 14 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back20% 3 of 15
Bayer1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 135 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it95% 90 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it77% 112 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVizek0wins
AwayBayer5wins
Bayer leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBayer100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek1Bayer4n = 5Bayer took 4 of 5
S2Vizek0Bayer5n = 5Bayer took 5 of 5
S3Vizek3Bayer2n = 5Vizek took 3 of 5
S4Vizek0Bayer4n = 4Bayer took 4 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away480%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVizekBayerV − BBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match34.442.0−7.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekBayerBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 418 vs 450 / 96952.2%46.4%218 / 418 vs 450 / 969Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BayerVizek 2.50/Bayer 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Bayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 30 · 24:00M. Vizek—991171A. Bayer—11118113
LJul 24 · 22:30M. Vizek—9613161A. Bayer—111111183
LJun 3 · 23:00M. Vizek—1091181A. Bayer—12119113
LMay 23 · 22:30M. Vizek—118861A. Bayer—91111113
LApr 23 · 21:58M. Vizek—9480A. Bayer—1111113
M. Vizek10
LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:30T. Janata2.20361191M. Vizek1.6111117113WAug 30 · 18:00M. Vizek2.2581613113T. Vinter1.5711141161WAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980
A. Bayer10
LAug 7 · 03:30M. Wagner1.6011119113A. Bayer2.20691151WAug 7 · 02:30A. Bayer1.831411113P. Pycha1.8312590LAug 7 · 01:30M. Wagner1.6114711113A. Bayer2.201211671WAug 7 · 24:00A. Bayer1.611111113M. Sobisek2.209790WAug 5 · 08:58A. Bayer1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1065100WAug 5 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.83113100A. Bayer1.831311123LAug 5 · 07:00M. Klement1.6161111113A. Bayer2.20117491WAug 5 · 06:30A. Bayer2.3811112113P. Sebera1.53951181LAug 4 · 03:30A. Bayer2.3891511892J. Hradecky1.531113611113LAug 4 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.737111011113A. Bayer2.0011912682
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