TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361081
Played Aug 5Finished
Viktor Vejvoda
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11133111012––––
Ales Bayer
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Bayer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Ales Bayer below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Ales Bayer at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 17–17 Ales Bayer Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 2–8Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:56What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bayer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-17 in 34
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1600 vs Bayer 1694
Bayer
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 40% vs Bayer 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 60% vs Bayer 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda -2 · Bayer -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bayer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bayer form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 1.83 / Bayer 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bayer)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361081
Vejvoda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Bayer1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVejvoda2wins
AwayBayer8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBayer leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvodan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBayer100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda2Bayer8n = 10Bayer took 8 of 10
S2Vejvoda4Bayer6n = 10Bayer took 6 of 10
S3Vejvoda2Bayer8n = 10Bayer took 8 of 10
S4Vejvoda1Bayer4n = 5Bayer took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricVejvodaBayerV − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.638.5−7.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaBayerBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 862 vs 450 / 97452.7%46.2%454 / 862 vs 450 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BayerVejvoda 1.83/Bayer 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 08:58V. Vejvoda—65100A. Bayer—1111123
LAug 5 · 08:00V. Vejvoda—113100A. Bayer—1311123
LAug 2 · 14:00V. Vejvoda—511531A. Bayer—11211113
LAug 1 · 21:08V. Vejvoda—5960A. Bayer—1111113
LAug 1 · 20:30V. Vejvoda—91113992A. Bayer—1191111113
WJul 31 · 11:00V. Vejvoda—1261111113A. Bayer—101171392
LJul 31 · 08:59V. Vejvoda—811681A. Bayer—11811113
WJul 31 · 07:30V. Vejvoda—11128113A. Bayer—9101161
LApr 22 · 07:30V. Vejvoda—74100A. Bayer—1111123
LApr 3 · 12:30V. Vejvoda—4780A. Bayer—1111113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171
A. Bayer10
LAug 7 · 03:30M. Wagner1.6011119113A. Bayer2.20691151WAug 7 · 02:30A. Bayer1.831411113P. Pycha1.8312590LAug 7 · 01:30M. Wagner1.6114711113A. Bayer2.201211671WAug 7 · 24:00A. Bayer1.611111113M. Sobisek2.209790WAug 6 · 23:00M. Vizek2.50111310742A. Bayer1.509111211113WAug 5 · 08:58A. Bayer1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1065100LAug 5 · 07:00M. Klement1.6161111113A. Bayer2.20117491WAug 5 · 06:30A. Bayer2.3811112113P. Sebera1.53951181LAug 4 · 03:30A. Bayer2.3891511892J. Hradecky1.531113611113LAug 4 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.737111011113A. Bayer2.0011912682
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