TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154161
Starts 22:50Scheduled
Cezary Pawlik
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 26–4Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
30 – 33
All 63 meetings · 47.6%
Last 10 · 4–6Same side
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 68–2Last 10Won last 6
Jacek Oracz arrives on a run of 6 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 8h before this match
Oracz beat Pawlik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 2.10 / Oracz 1.60
TT Elite Series · #13154161
Pawlik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Oracz1.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 302 of 421
Up 2–0, closes it99% 189 of 191
Up 1–0, closes it88% 245 of 278
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik4wins
AwayOracz6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik80%4 of 5
AwayOracz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S2Pawlik2Oracz8n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S3Pawlik6Oracz4n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S4Pawlik5Oracz4n = 9Pawlik took 5 of 9
S5Pawlik1Oracz2n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikOraczP − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.841.6−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 502 vs 656 / 90758.6%72.3%294 / 502 vs 656 / 907Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 15:10C. Pawlik33691171J. Oracz4011117113
LSep 12 · 02:00C. Pawlik4571171282J. Oracz521191110113
LSep 11 · 16:25C. Pawlik4678111282J. Oracz471111410113
LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik217590J. Oracz331111113
WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik43111011113J. Oracz39912991
WSep 4 · 22:50C. Pawlik531161114113J. Oracz5191191662
LSep 4 · 15:10C. Pawlik36128881J. Oracz43101111113
WAug 22 · 02:00C. Pawlik3811511113J. Oracz29711381
WAug 21 · 16:25C. Pawlik46111112123J. Oracz4181310101
LAug 15 · 24:45C. Pawlik37811991J. Oracz4111811113
C. Pawlik10
WSep 18 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.25111187113M. Natkaniec3.0568111192WSep 18 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.6611911123M. Krutak2.107119101LSep 18 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.78691171J. Oracz1.9111117113WSep 13 · 02:00K. Malcher3.407470C. Pawlik1.241111113WSep 13 · 01:10M. Wolny2.859890C. Pawlik1.341111113LSep 13 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.6271161182A. Fomin2.07118117113LSep 12 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.6191115372O. Jedrzejowski2.101171311113LSep 12 · 22:00A. Zmijewski2.07611811123C. Pawlik1.62116115102WSep 12 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.6211713123A. Fomin2.0791111101WSep 12 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.361111113M. Wolny2.756140
J. Oracz10
WSep 18 · 17:35M. Krutak2.25114141162J. Oracz1.55711169113WSep 18 · 16:50D. Pyrek3.5011107101J. Oracz1.2671211123WSep 18 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.78691171J. Oracz1.9111117113WSep 12 · 02:00J. Oracz1.691191110113C. Pawlik1.9771171282WSep 12 · 24:45J. Oracz1.2111119113M. Natkaniec3.70831151WSep 11 · 23:35J. Oracz1.451111113M. Wozniczka2.504480LSep 11 · 22:25D. Pyrek2.55118119113J. Oracz1.4251161192LSep 11 · 21:35J. Oracz1.494111081O. Jedrzejowski2.3411912113WSep 11 · 20:00J. Oracz1.27111012113D. Pyrek3.206121071WSep 11 · 18:45J. Oracz1.211111113M. Natkaniec3.707650
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