TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139843
Starts 10:55 PMScheduled
Kacper Kwiatkowski
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 78–2Last 10Won last 7
Head to head
2 – 1
All 3 meetings · 66.7%
Last 3 · 2–1Same side
Mateusz Baran
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 15–5Last 10Lost last 1
Kacper Kwiatkowski arrives on a run of 7 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kwiatkowski beat Baran 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwiatkowski 1.44 / Baran 2.63
TT Elite Series · #13139843
Kwiatkowski1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite67% won 33 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Baran2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 20 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKwiatkowski2wins
AwayBaran1wins
Kwiatkowski leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKwiatkowski66.7%2 of 3
AwayBarann = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kwiatkowski3Baran0n = 3Kwiatkowski took 3 of 3
S2Kwiatkowski2Baran1n = 3Kwiatkowski took 2 of 3
S3Kwiatkowski1Baran2n = 3Baran took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKwiatkowskiBaranK − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match37.733.0+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwiatkowskiBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 244 vs 71 / 13344.7%53.4%109 / 244 vs 71 / 133Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 16:55K. Kwiatkowski4611157133M. Baran4161311111
WAug 26 · 04:40K. Kwiatkowski341112113M. Baran2141070
LAug 25 · 22:40K. Kwiatkowski33115981M. Baran3741111113
K. Kwiatkowski10
WSep 16 · 16:55K. Kwiatkowski1.4411157133M. Baran2.6361311111WSep 16 · 15:50K. Kwiatkowski1.671111113M. Machelski2.102950WAug 26 · 04:40M. Baran2.6541070K. Kwiatkowski1.411112113WAug 26 · 03:55A. Krezel2.655990K. Kwiatkowski1.401111113WAug 26 · 01:55J. Zelezik1.709970K. Kwiatkowski2.001111113WAug 26 · 01:10M. Brunner2.9510590K. Kwiatkowski1.341211113WAug 25 · 23:30J. Michalik2.263750K. Kwiatkowski1.541111113LAug 25 · 22:40M. Baran2.3041111113K. Kwiatkowski1.55115981WAug 25 · 21:55A. Krezel2.40116111052K. Kwiatkowski1.50811612113LAug 25 · 19:55J. Zelezik1.8591111113K. Kwiatkowski1.80113771
M. Baran10
LSep 16 · 16:55K. Kwiatkowski1.4411157133M. Baran2.6361311111WSep 16 · 15:25A. Skupinski2.256740M. Baran1.571111113LSep 16 · 04:40J. Skorupa1.957141111113M. Baran1.77111261342LSep 16 · 03:55M. Karpiuk1.851111113M. Baran1.858960WSep 16 · 01:55J. Michalik1.92081141M. Baran1.7211118113WSep 16 · 01:10M. Brunner1.95115661M. Baran1.7581111113WSep 15 · 23:30K. Rybak4.001111681M. Baran1.1871311113LSep 15 · 22:40J. Skorupa1.87111112133M. Baran1.8313510111LAug 26 · 04:40M. Baran2.6541070K. Kwiatkowski1.411112113WAug 25 · 22:40M. Baran2.3041111113K. Kwiatkowski1.55115981
Upcoming Matches
K. Kwiatkowski
Sep 16 · 17:45K. Kwiatkowski1.67M. Lewczuk2.10—Sep 16 · 18:30K. Kwiatkowski1.33A. Skupinski3.25—Sep 16 · 20:05K. Kwiatkowski1.83A. Fomin1.83—Sep 16 · 21:45K. Kwiatkowski1.67M. Lewczuk2.10—Sep 16 · 23:45K. Kwiatkowski1.67M. Machelski2.10—Sep 17 · 24:35K. Kwiatkowski1.80J. Skorupa1.91—Sep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.83A. Fomin1.83—Sep 17 · 17:55K. Kwiatkowski—A. Staniczek——Sep 17 · 18:45K. Kwiatkowski—J. Michalik——
M. Baran
Sep 16 · 18:10M. Baran1.67M. Machelski2.10—Sep 16 · 19:20M. Baran2.20A. Fomin1.61—Sep 16 · 20:30M. Baran2.10M. Lewczuk1.67—Sep 16 · 21:20M. Baran2.10J. Skorupa1.67—Sep 17 · 24:10M. Baran2.00M. Lewczuk1.73—Sep 17 · 01:25M. Baran2.20A. Fomin1.61—Sep 17 · 02:35M. Baran1.67M. Machelski2.10—Sep 17 · 15:50M. Baran—Z. Nocun——Sep 17 · 16:35M. Baran—G. Mucha——Sep 17 · 18:10M. Baran—K. Gudzik——
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