TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jiri Skalicky vs Anton Veliiev 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113911115119711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:36 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Skalicky above · Anton Veliiev below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 98 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 55.8%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Skalicky 3–1 Anton Veliiev Anton Veliiev has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:36What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skalicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Skalicky
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skalicky 1625 vs Veliiev 1648
Veliiev
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skalicky 60% vs Veliiev 20%
Skalicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skalicky 60% vs Veliiev 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skalicky -1 · Veliiev -4
Veliiev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkalicky 1.67 / Veliiev 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skalicky)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13197461
Skalicky1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 41 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 23 of 29
Veliiev2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 4 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back22% 2 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSkalicky3wins
AwayVeliiev1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSkalicky leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkalickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVeliiev33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skalicky1Veliiev3n = 4Veliiev took 3 of 4
S2Skalicky3Veliiev1n = 4Skalicky took 3 of 4
S3Skalicky4Veliiev0n = 4Skalicky took 4 of 4
S4Skalicky3Veliiev0n = 3Skalicky took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSkalickyVeliievS − VBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.835.0+6.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkalickyVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 210 vs 135 / 23151%58.4%107 / 210 vs 135 / 231Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkalicky 1.67/Veliiev 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 26 · 08:44J. Skalicky331111113A. Veliiev194870
LSep 26 · 07:45J. Skalicky49119111172A. Veliiev49131159113
WApr 4 · 12:55J. Skalicky3521111113A. Veliiev29117741
WApr 4 · 10:40J. Skalicky50121111163A. Veliiev431469141
J. Skalicky10
WSep 26 · 08:44A. Veliiev1.834870J. Skalicky1.831111113LSep 26 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.738760D. Jr2.001111113WSep 26 · 05:45J. Skalicky1.83126115113J. Travnicek1.83101161192WSep 20 · 16:43D. Skulina2.00101171192J. Skalicky1.73129118113LSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570WSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151WSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113
A. Veliiev10
LSep 26 · 08:44A. Veliiev1.834870J. Skalicky1.831111113LSep 26 · 07:15J. Travnicek1.7311811113A. Veliiev2.00911881LSep 26 · 06:15A. Veliiev2.00911771D. Jr1.7311811113LSep 20 · 13:05O. Stehlik1.671111113A. Veliiev2.103960LSep 20 · 12:35A. Veliiev1.807890J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 20 · 11:05O. Stehlik2.0013112672A. Veliiev1.731161111113LSep 20 · 10:35O. Polak1.8311911113A. Veliiev1.83811871WSep 19 · 17:43A. Veliiev1.801311113O. Polak1.9111250WSep 19 · 16:35A. Veliiev2.639111110113O. Polak1.4411741252WSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113
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