TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Emets vs Oleksandr Leonenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811611––––
Oleksandr Leonenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Oleksandr Leonenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 56 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Ihor Emets at 68.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 18–9 Oleksandr Leonenko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 9 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Emets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-9 in 27
Emets
Wrong
gap of 9 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1499 vs Leonenko 1500
Leonenko
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 60% vs Leonenko 40%
Emets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Leonenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets +1 · Leonenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Emets)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.44 / Leonenko 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Emets)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13172811
Emets1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite70% won 64 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Leonenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 72 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets7wins
AwayLeonenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets85.7%6 of 7
AwayLeonenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets7Leonenko3n = 10Emets took 7 of 10
S2Emets6Leonenko4n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S3Emets4Leonenko6n = 10Leonenko took 6 of 10
S4Emets3Leonenko2n = 5Emets took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsLeonenkoE − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.734.9+0.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsLeonenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 498 vs 425 / 82551%51.5%254 / 498 vs 425 / 825Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.44/Leonenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68%
Emets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets239860O. Leonenko331111113
WSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets3961111113O. Leonenko37118991
WApr 23 · 07:00I. Emets521112612113O. Leonenko48910111442
WMar 9 · 09:20I. Emets331111113O. Leonenko269980
LMar 5 · 09:20I. Emets32116691O. Leonenko4071111113
WMar 2 · 12:50I. Emets381111163O. Leonenko2776140
WJan 20 · 07:00I. Emets331111113O. Leonenko259970
LDec 22 · 12:05I. Emets174580O. Leonenko331111113
WSep 30 · 11:00I. Emets48119611113O. Leonenko4691111872
WJun 19 · 11:50I. Emets4211119113O. Leonenko34781181
I. Emets10
WSep 22 · 05:35I. Emets1.67911411113F. Voinarovskyi2.1011511762LSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113WSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991LSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101WSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461LSep 15 · 08:30I. Emets3.2581191182O. Karpenko1.33118118113LSep 15 · 07:00I. Emets4.33411451Y. Kovshun1.2011211113
O. Leonenko10
LSep 22 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.00311791A. Kurtenko1.7311311113LSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131WSep 21 · 10:50O. Leonenko1.91915126113O. Osadchyi1.801113101152WSep 21 · 09:50O. Leonenko2.204111113113S. Solomko1.61111351192LSep 21 · 08:20O. Leonenko1.9111613141S. Hryhorenko1.8081115163WSep 21 · 06:20O. Leonenko2.2571111113E. Populovskyi1.57115881LSep 17 · 11:35O. Leonenko2.20101111161O. Osadchyi1.6112813183WSep 17 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.28971191O. Leonenko3.5011114113LSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113LSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991
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