TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Leonenko vs Andrii Kurtenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Leonenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311113711911––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kurtenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 66 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Kurtenko at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 32–37 Andrii Kurtenko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 32 of their 69 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-37 in 69
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1485 vs Kurtenko 1430
Leonenko
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 60% vs Kurtenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 50% vs Kurtenko 30%
Leonenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko -1 · Kurtenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 2.00 / Kurtenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kurtenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13172884
Leonenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 72 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Kurtenko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 145 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it91% 82 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it80% 110 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonenko5wins
AwayKurtenko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayKurtenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonenko6Kurtenko4n = 10Leonenko took 6 of 10
S2Leonenko3Kurtenko7n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Leonenko6Kurtenko4n = 10Leonenko took 6 of 10
S4Leonenko3Kurtenko4n = 7Kurtenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonenkoKurtenkoL − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.4+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 824 vs 348 / 66551.5%52.3%424 / 824 vs 348 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoLeonenko 2.00/Kurtenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 06:05O. Leonenko30311791A. Kurtenko3611311113
LSep 21 · 11:50O. Leonenko30881131A. Kurtenko3811115113
WSep 12 · 16:30O. Leonenko47118611113A. Kurtenko4891111892
LAug 30 · 16:30O. Leonenko32128391A. Kurtenko43101111113
LAug 27 · 12:20O. Leonenko249960A. Kurtenko331111113
LAug 20 · 06:20O. Leonenko38991191A. Kurtenko3811115113
WAug 14 · 11:00O. Leonenko331111113A. Kurtenko197570
WJul 2 · 06:20O. Leonenko4312911113A. Kurtenko391011991
WJun 29 · 11:20O. Leonenko351113113A. Kurtenko2771190
WJun 28 · 15:30O. Leonenko44111111113A. Kurtenko33713941
O. Leonenko10
WSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113LSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131WSep 21 · 10:50O. Leonenko1.91915126113O. Osadchyi1.801113101152WSep 21 · 09:50O. Leonenko2.204111113113S. Solomko1.61111351192LSep 21 · 08:20O. Leonenko1.9111613141S. Hryhorenko1.8081115163WSep 21 · 06:20O. Leonenko2.2571111113E. Populovskyi1.57115881LSep 17 · 11:35O. Leonenko2.20101111161O. Osadchyi1.6112813183WSep 17 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.28971191O. Leonenko3.5011114113LSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113LSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113WSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131LSep 21 · 10:20A. Kurtenko3.0031271162S. Hryhorenko1.361110119113LSep 21 · 08:50A. Kurtenko2.25911141392O. Osadchyi1.571161611113WSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691WSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko2.10119411113S. Solomko1.6741111992LSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113LSep 20 · 10:50O. Osadchyi1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.207770LSep 20 · 08:50A. Kotiash1.8331114123A. Kurtenko1.8311312101LSep 20 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.8010119101E. Populovskyi1.9112911123
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