TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
3111210711119611
Stepan Hryhorenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeStepan Hryhorenko to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Stepan Hryhorenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Stepan Hryhorenko at 69.6%
91 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 0–1 Stepan Hryhorenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hryhorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1421 vs Hryhorenko 1529
Hryhorenko
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 40% vs Hryhorenko 60%
Hryhorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 40% vs Hryhorenko 60%
Hryhorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -1 · Hryhorenko +3
Hryhorenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hryhorenko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhorenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 3.00 / Hryhorenko 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hryhorenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166230
Kurtenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Hryhorenko1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 19 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it61% 14 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKurtenko0wins
AwayHryhorenko1wins
Hryhorenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKurtenkoHryhorenkoK − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoHryhorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 662 vs 53 / 13552.3%39.3%346 / 662 vs 53 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorenkoKurtenko 3.00/Hryhorenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Hryhorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hryhorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko209650S. Hryhorenko331111113
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 21 · 08:50A. Kurtenko2.25911141392O. Osadchyi1.571161611113WSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691WSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko2.10119411113S. Solomko1.6741111992LSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113LSep 20 · 10:50O. Osadchyi1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.207770LSep 20 · 08:50A. Kotiash1.8331114123A. Kurtenko1.8311312101LSep 20 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.8010119101E. Populovskyi1.9112911123LSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020WSep 16 · 18:30B. Zaika1.5310811111A. Kurtenko2.3812118133WSep 16 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.838750A. Kurtenko1.831111113
S. Hryhorenko10
WSep 21 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.9111101111113E. Populovskyi1.8081213782WSep 21 · 08:20O. Leonenko1.9111613141S. Hryhorenko1.8081115163WSep 21 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.801111113O. Osadchyi1.918630LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko2.209650S. Hryhorenko1.611111113WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690LAug 30 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.73881161E. Populovskyi2.0011117113WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kurtenko
Nothing scheduled
S. Hryhorenko
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