TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114911411119119
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 40–33 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 33 of their 73 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 17h before this match
Solomko beat Kurtenko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:03What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-33 in 73
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1401 vs Solomko 1566
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 0% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Solomko 70%
Solomko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -5 · Solomko +2
Kurtenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Solomko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.10 / Solomko 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Solomko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166349
Kurtenko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Solomko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 117 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it91% 58 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko2wins
AwaySolomko8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko50%2 of 4
AwaySolomko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S2Kurtenko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S4Kurtenko2Solomko6n = 8Solomko took 6 of 8
S5Kurtenko2Solomko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.042.0−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 659 vs 530 / 102952.2%51.5%344 / 659 vs 530 / 1029Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoKurtenko 2.10/Solomko 1.67
Miss
What we said
58.6%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2913880S. Solomko371511113
LSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko351194111S. Solomko3941111133
LSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko4513119572S. Solomko521181111113
LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko341112651S. Solomko45131011113
LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko327111131S. Solomko3711110153
LSep 2 · 05:35A. Kurtenko2413830S. Solomko371511113
WAug 23 · 12:50A. Kurtenko47111168113S. Solomko4578111182
WJul 15 · 11:35A. Kurtenko52111199123S. Solomko43651111102
LJun 17 · 16:20A. Kurtenko531210111192S. Solomko43141242113
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113LSep 20 · 10:50O. Osadchyi1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.207770LSep 20 · 08:50A. Kotiash1.8331114123A. Kurtenko1.8311312101LSep 20 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.8010119101E. Populovskyi1.9112911123LSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020WSep 16 · 18:30B. Zaika1.5310811111A. Kurtenko2.3812118133WSep 16 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.838750A. Kurtenko1.831111113WSep 16 · 16:00V. Smyk1.91571191A. Kurtenko1.8011116113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.531111113A. Kurtenko2.383930LSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762
S. Solomko10
WSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113WSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko1.229111110123E. Populovskyi4.00119812102LSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 07:20A. Kotiash1.80711651S. Solomko1.9111811113WSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi2.256740S. Solomko1.571111113WSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi3.758740S. Solomko1.251111113WSep 19 · 17:30S. Solomko1.44111187113S. Baranskyi2.6376111162WSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181
Upcoming Matches
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