TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Serhii Solomko
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91111911810121210
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 79.0% is still 79.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
79.0%
79.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 103 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 79.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 28–8 Eduard Populovskyi Eduard Populovskyi has won 8 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-8 in 36
Solomko
Correct
gap of 20 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1550 vs Populovskyi 1454
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 80% vs Populovskyi 40%
Solomko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 60% vs Populovskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko -1 · Populovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 1.22 / Populovskyi 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Solomko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161350
Solomko1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it90% 56 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Populovskyi4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 46 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko9wins
AwayPopulovskyi1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko88.9%8 of 9
AwayPopulovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko9Populovskyi1n = 10Solomko took 9 of 10
S2Solomko10Populovskyi0n = 10Solomko took 10 of 10
S3Solomko8Populovskyi1n = 9Solomko took 8 of 9
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home880%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoPopulovskyiS − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.025.6+11.4per matchSweeps80+83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime528 / 1027 vs 343 / 69651.4%49.3%528 / 1027 vs 343 / 696Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSolomko 1.22/Populovskyi 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 19 · 19:00S. Solomko331111113E. Populovskyi198740
WSep 13 · 11:20S. Solomko341112113E. Populovskyi2251070
WSep 11 · 17:30S. Solomko341211113E. Populovskyi1810440
WSep 6 · 06:20S. Solomko4181111113E. Populovskyi34117971
WSep 3 · 10:00S. Solomko331111113E. Populovskyi153840
WSep 2 · 10:35S. Solomko331111113E. Populovskyi247980
WAug 31 · 10:35S. Solomko331111113E. Populovskyi197390
WAug 30 · 11:20S. Solomko361213113E. Populovskyi25101140
LAug 29 · 15:00S. Solomko561114121092E. Populovskyi545121412113
S. Solomko10
WSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113LSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 07:20A. Kotiash1.80711651S. Solomko1.9111811113WSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi2.256740S. Solomko1.571111113WSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi3.758740S. Solomko1.251111113WSep 19 · 17:30S. Solomko1.44111187113S. Baranskyi2.6376111162WSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 20 · 12:20D. Khairov1.831111113E. Populovskyi1.839340LSep 20 · 09:50O. Osadchyi1.331111113E. Populovskyi3.259330WSep 20 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.8010119101E. Populovskyi1.9112911123WSep 20 · 05:50A. Kotiash1.917511101E. Populovskyi1.8011119123LSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi3.758740S. Solomko1.251111113LSep 19 · 17:00B. Zaika1.4011119123E. Populovskyi2.758911101LSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 14:00E. Populovskyi1.731611113S. Baranskyi2.0014990WSep 15 · 11:35A. Kovalenko1.831011881E. Populovskyi1.8312911113LSep 15 · 10:35A. Kurtenko1.91111011123E. Populovskyi1.806127101
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