TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113114––––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 5–8 Eduard Populovskyi Dmytro Khairov has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Populovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Populovskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1583 vs Populovskyi 1438
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 80% vs Populovskyi 40%
Khairov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 50% vs Populovskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov +4 · Populovskyi -2
Khairov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 1.83 / Populovskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khairov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161400
Khairov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Populovskyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhairov4wins
AwayPopulovskyi6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPopulovskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov100%4 of 4
AwayPopulovskyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov4Populovskyi6n = 10Populovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Khairov6Populovskyi4n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S3Khairov5Populovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Khairov1Populovskyi6n = 7Populovskyi took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhairovPopulovskyiK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.835.7−1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 421 vs 343 / 69847.7%49.1%201 / 421 vs 343 / 698Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovKhairov 1.83/Populovskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 12:20D. Khairov331111113E. Populovskyi169340
LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov284111031E. Populovskyi4011612113
WAug 30 · 09:50D. Khairov4011117113E. Populovskyi34681191
WAug 23 · 09:50D. Khairov49128135113E. Populovskyi491011111162
LAug 17 · 08:35D. Khairov194780E. Populovskyi331111113
LAug 15 · 19:00D. Khairov3510111041E. Populovskyi4412912113
WJul 29 · 08:05D. Khairov331111113E. Populovskyi192890
LMar 30 · 11:00D. Khairov375911121E. Populovskyi4311117143
LMar 20 · 09:05D. Khairov28561161E. Populovskyi4111118113
LMar 19 · 05:30D. Khairov368111071E. Populovskyi3811412113
D. Khairov10
WSep 20 · 10:20A. Kotiash1.538650D. Khairov2.381111113WSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 08:20O. Osadchyi1.73821151D. Khairov2.0011117113WSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113LSep 10 · 08:35D. Khairov1.808670O. Osadchyi1.911111113LSep 10 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov2.2512411123D. Khairov1.5710118101LSep 10 · 06:05D. Khairov2.38111061152V. Vietrov1.53512111113LSep 8 · 11:35D. Khairov3.50811111162Y. Kovshun1.28119413113
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko1.229111110123E. Populovskyi4.00119812102LSep 20 · 09:50O. Osadchyi1.331111113E. Populovskyi3.259330WSep 20 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.8010119101E. Populovskyi1.9112911123WSep 20 · 05:50A. Kotiash1.917511101E. Populovskyi1.8011119123LSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi3.758740S. Solomko1.251111113LSep 19 · 17:00B. Zaika1.4011119123E. Populovskyi2.758911101LSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 14:00E. Populovskyi1.731611113S. Baranskyi2.0014990WSep 15 · 11:35A. Kovalenko1.831011881E. Populovskyi1.8312911113LSep 15 · 10:35A. Kurtenko1.91111011123E. Populovskyi1.806127101
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