TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811211117511––
Dmytro Khairov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:01 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 54.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 6–2 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Osadchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Osadchyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1509 vs Khairov 1535
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Khairov 40%
Osadchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 50% vs Khairov 30%
Osadchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -1 · Khairov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osadchyi) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.73 / Khairov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Osadchyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13161826
Osadchyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 106 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it83% 76 of 92
Khairov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 38 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOsadchyi6wins
AwayKhairov2wins
4 of 8 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi100%3 of 3
AwayKhairov40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi3Khairov5n = 8Khairov took 5 of 8
S2Osadchyi5Khairov3n = 8Osadchyi took 5 of 8
S3Osadchyi6Khairov2n = 8Osadchyi took 6 of 8
S4Osadchyi3Khairov1n = 4Osadchyi took 3 of 4
S5Osadchyi3Khairov1n = 4Osadchyi took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricOsadchyiKhairovO − KBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match37.235.1+2.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 853 vs 197 / 41751.2%47.2%437 / 853 vs 197 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.73/Khairov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 10 · 08:35O. Osadchyi331111113D. Khairov218670
WSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi47491112113D. Khairov44111171052
LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi4761481182D. Khairov511112116113
LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi127410D. Khairov331111113
WAug 30 · 11:50O. Osadchyi44741111113D. Khairov4211116862
WAug 24 · 05:00O. Osadchyi371311133D. Khairov29117110
WAug 15 · 15:00O. Osadchyi331111113D. Khairov279990
WJul 29 · 12:05O. Osadchyi45711115113D. Khairov3411341152
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi2.256740S. Solomko1.571111113WSep 17 · 11:35O. Leonenko2.20101111161O. Osadchyi1.6112813183WSep 17 · 10:35O. Volynets2.38116118102O. Osadchyi1.53511611123LSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011121101O. Osadchyi1.6113147113LSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181LSep 15 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.4411681162S. Skhabitskiy2.63711117113WSep 15 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.531112113A. Kovalenko2.3891080LSep 15 · 08:05O. Osadchyi4.001011651A. Martyniuk1.2212611113WSep 15 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.731112113A. Kurtenko2.0061090
D. Khairov10
WSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113LSep 10 · 08:35D. Khairov1.808670O. Osadchyi1.911111113LSep 10 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov2.2512411123D. Khairov1.5710118101LSep 10 · 06:05D. Khairov2.38111061152V. Vietrov1.53512111113LSep 8 · 11:35D. Khairov3.50811111162Y. Kovshun1.28119413113LSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.00491112113D. Khairov1.73111171052WSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152
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