TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142095
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1156111168111012
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Oleksandr Osadchyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 91 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 57.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 2–3 Oleksandr Osadchyi Oleh Volynets has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Osadchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1456 vs Osadchyi 1491
Osadchyi
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 60% vs Osadchyi 40%
Volynets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 50% vs Osadchyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets +3 · Osadchyi -1
Volynets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Osadchyi) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 2.38 / Osadchyi 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Osadchyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142095
Volynets2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 18 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Osadchyi1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 106 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it83% 76 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVolynets2wins
AwayOsadchyi3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets66.7%2 of 3
AwayOsadchyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets3Osadchyi2n = 5Volynets took 3 of 5
S2Volynets2Osadchyi3n = 5Osadchyi took 3 of 5
S3Volynets0Osadchyi5n = 5Osadchyi took 5 of 5
S4Volynets1Osadchyi3n = 4Osadchyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVolynetsOsadchyiV − OBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.040.6−5.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsOsadchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 616 vs 442 / 86354.2%51.2%334 / 616 vs 442 / 863Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiVolynets 2.38/Osadchyi 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets42111163113O. Osadchyi4054111192
LSep 8 · 06:35O. Volynets341110761O. Osadchyi4061211113
LSep 7 · 04:30O. Volynets2261060O. Osadchyi341112113
WAug 27 · 05:05O. Volynets46134711113O. Osadchyi47111111862
LAug 2 · 09:30O. Volynets31711671O. Osadchyi4211911113
O. Volynets10
WSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113WSep 17 · 08:35O. Leonenko1.83881151O. Volynets1.8311119113WSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123LSep 10 · 09:35O. Volynets1.57112691D. Khairov2.2541111113LSep 10 · 08:05O. Volynets1.83107100V. Vietrov1.831211123WSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192LSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2.1041160A. Troyan1.671113113LSep 8 · 12:05A. Troyan1.611111113O. Volynets2.208660
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 17 · 11:35O. Leonenko2.20101111161O. Osadchyi1.6112813183LSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011121101O. Osadchyi1.6113147113LSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181LSep 15 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.4411681162S. Skhabitskiy2.63711117113WSep 15 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.531112113A. Kovalenko2.3891080LSep 15 · 08:05O. Osadchyi4.001011651A. Martyniuk1.2212611113WSep 15 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.731112113A. Kurtenko2.0061090WSep 15 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.401111113E. Populovskyi2.759870LSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192
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