TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711411––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 59.3%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 64–94 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 64 of their 158 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-94 in 158
Solomko
Correct
gap of 30 in 158, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1509 vs Solomko 1562
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 60% vs Solomko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +2 · Solomko +3
Solomko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Solomko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.25 / Solomko 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Solomko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161237
Osadchyi2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 100 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 67
Solomko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it90% 56 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi40%2 of 5
AwaySolomko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Osadchyi2Solomko8n = 10Solomko took 8 of 10
S3Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Osadchyi4Solomko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoO − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.737.8−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 853 vs 528 / 102651.2%51.5%437 / 853 vs 528 / 1026Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoOsadchyi 2.25/Solomko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi176740S. Solomko331111113
WSep 13 · 05:50O. Osadchyi4011711113S. Solomko32511881
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi43111110832S. Solomko48861211113
WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi3912511113S. Solomko311011731
LSep 2 · 06:35O. Osadchyi25114731S. Solomko3521111113
WAug 30 · 07:20O. Osadchyi4291111113S. Solomko30119551
LAug 29 · 12:00O. Osadchyi34118961S. Solomko4291111113
LAug 27 · 06:35O. Osadchyi399111181S. Solomko4311138113
LAug 24 · 08:30O. Osadchyi1510320S. Solomko341211113
WAug 5 · 11:05O. Osadchyi531191111113S. Solomko5013118992
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 17 · 11:35O. Leonenko2.20101111161O. Osadchyi1.6112813183WSep 17 · 10:35O. Volynets2.38116118102O. Osadchyi1.53511611123LSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011121101O. Osadchyi1.6113147113LSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181LSep 15 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.4411681162S. Skhabitskiy2.63711117113WSep 15 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.531112113A. Kovalenko2.3891080LSep 15 · 08:05O. Osadchyi4.001011651A. Martyniuk1.2212611113WSep 15 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.731112113A. Kurtenko2.0061090WSep 15 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.401111113E. Populovskyi2.759870
S. Solomko10
WSep 20 · 07:20A. Kotiash1.80711651S. Solomko1.9111811113WSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi3.758740S. Solomko1.251111113WSep 19 · 17:30S. Solomko1.44111187113S. Baranskyi2.6376111162WSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181WSep 13 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.5051070S. Solomko1.281112113LSep 13 · 09:50A. Martyniuk1.83911117123S. Solomko1.83119511102WSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.831194111S. Solomko1.8341111133
Upcoming Matches
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