TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118611511––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 9–11 Serhii Solomko Andrii Kotiash has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kotiash
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Solomko
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1431 vs Solomko 1562
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 20% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 10% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash -3 · Solomko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 1.80 / Solomko 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solomko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13161098
Kotiash1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 44 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Solomko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 117 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back25% 35 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotiash5wins
AwaySolomko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotiash100%3 of 3
AwaySolomko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotiash3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S2Kotiash5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kotiash5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kotiash5Solomko4n = 9Kotiash took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotiashSolomkoK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.2−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 472 vs 528 / 102646.8%51.5%221 / 472 vs 528 / 1026Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoKotiash 1.80/Solomko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 07:20A. Kotiash29711651S. Solomko4111811113
WAug 6 · 11:05A. Kotiash4311138113S. Solomko409111191
WJul 4 · 08:50A. Kotiash4111118113S. Solomko33681181
WJul 3 · 15:00A. Kotiash4011711113S. Solomko32611781
WJun 28 · 07:20A. Kotiash48151111113S. Solomko39179581
WJun 27 · 17:00A. Kotiash5310101111113S. Solomko5012129892
LJun 23 · 12:10A. Kotiash30571531S. Solomko46111113113
LMay 17 · 07:20A. Kotiash2111550S. Solomko351311113
LMay 16 · 19:20A. Kotiash368211151S. Solomko4311114173
LMar 26 · 09:50A. Kotiash351111761S. Solomko4313811113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 20 · 05:50A. Kotiash1.917511101E. Populovskyi1.8011119123LSep 19 · 11:35A. Kotiash2.63511851V. Kryvenko1.4411911113LSep 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.2881111113A. Kotiash3.50114221WSep 19 · 08:35A. Kotiash2.2011116113Y. Kovshun1.61961141LSep 19 · 07:35I. Efimenko1.2061112113A. Kotiash4.331161081LSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113LSep 12 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.131110811113A. Kotiash5.5041211492LSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 09:05A. Kotiash2.20111791182Y. Kovshun1.61219118113LSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113
S. Solomko10
WSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi2.256740S. Solomko1.571111113WSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi3.758740S. Solomko1.251111113WSep 19 · 17:30S. Solomko1.44111187113S. Baranskyi2.6376111162WSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181WSep 13 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.5051070S. Solomko1.281112113LSep 13 · 09:50A. Martyniuk1.83911117123S. Solomko1.83119511102WSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.831194111S. Solomko1.8341111133
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