TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155685
Played Sep 19Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119811511––
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 66.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 0–5 Vitalii Kryvenko Andrii Kotiash has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kryvenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Kryvenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1458 vs Kryvenko 1614
Kryvenko
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 20% vs Kryvenko 40%
Kryvenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 10% vs Kryvenko 40%
Kryvenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash -1 · Kryvenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kryvenko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 2.63 / Kryvenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kryvenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155685
Kotiash2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 55 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Kryvenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKotiash0wins
AwayKryvenko5wins
3 of 5 to a deciderKryvenko leads 5–0, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotiashn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKryvenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotiash2Kryvenko3n = 5Kryvenko took 3 of 5
S2Kotiash1Kryvenko4n = 5Kryvenko took 4 of 5
S3Kotiash2Kryvenko3n = 5Kryvenko took 3 of 5
S4Kotiash3Kryvenko2n = 5Kotiash took 3 of 5
S5Kotiash0Kryvenko3n = 3Kryvenko took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKotiashKryvenkoKotiash − KryvenkoBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match45.047.8−2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 469 vs 55 / 9547.1%57.9%221 / 469 vs 55 / 95Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoKotiash 2.63/Kryvenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryvenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 22 · 10:05A. Kotiash32611781V. Kryvenko4111811113
LJul 18 · 09:05A. Kotiash4597111172V. Kryvenko46111149113
LMay 10 · 16:00A. Kotiash401210991V. Kryvenko44101211113
LMay 3 · 12:30A. Kotiash53128712142V. Kryvenko5810111110163
LMar 15 · 10:50A. Kotiash55971111172V. Kryvenko50111154193
A. Kotiash10
LSep 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.2881111113A. Kotiash3.50114221WSep 19 · 08:35A. Kotiash2.2011116113Y. Kovshun1.61961141LSep 19 · 07:35I. Efimenko1.2061112113A. Kotiash4.331161081LSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113LSep 12 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.131110811113A. Kotiash5.5041211492LSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 09:05A. Kotiash2.20111791182Y. Kovshun1.61219118113LSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113LSep 12 · 05:35A. Kotiash2.5021090A. Troyan1.501112113LSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392
V. Kryvenko10
WSep 19 · 10:35Y. Kovshun2.257101191V. Kryvenko1.5711127113LSep 19 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.5011119113V. Kryvenko2.50841131LSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681
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