TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154974
Played Sep 19Finished
Yaroslav Kovshun
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012117911––
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:24 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Kovshun above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 56.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kovshun 3–3 Vitalii Kryvenko Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:24What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kryvenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovshun 1595 vs Kryvenko 1603
Kryvenko
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovshun 40% vs Kryvenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovshun 40% vs Kryvenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovshun -1 · Kryvenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kryvenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovshun 2.25 / Kryvenko 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kryvenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13154974
Kovshun2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Kryvenko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKovshun3wins
AwayKryvenko3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovshun66.7%2 of 3
AwayKryvenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovshun3Kryvenko3n = 6split evenly
S2Kovshun3Kryvenko3n = 6split evenly
S3Kovshun5Kryvenko1n = 6Kovshun took 5 of 6
S4Kovshun2Kryvenko3n = 5Kryvenko took 3 of 5
S5Kovshun1Kryvenko2n = 3Kryvenko took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKovshunKryvenkoKovshun − KryvenkoBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.740.8−1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovshunKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 632 vs 54 / 9453.8%57.5%340 / 632 vs 54 / 94Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoKovshun 2.25/Kryvenko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryvenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 25 · 09:05Y. Kovshun44101111123V. Kryvenko371287101
LJul 18 · 10:35Y. Kovshun31133961V. Kryvenko44111111113
WJun 30 · 12:10Y. Kovshun341112113V. Kryvenko2291030
WJun 26 · 07:35Y. Kovshun491151111113V. Kryvenko4351151392
LJun 7 · 11:05Y. Kovshun3561311322V. Kryvenko481111411113
LMay 31 · 05:35Y. Kovshun4579121162V. Kryvenko511111108113
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 19 · 08:35A. Kotiash2.2011116113Y. Kovshun1.61961141WSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113WSep 19 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.44411771Y. Kovshun2.6311811113LSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101LSep 18 · 09:30Y. Kovshun1.9110560S. Kyienko1.801211113WSep 18 · 08:30Y. Kovshun1.679111115113O. Karpenko2.1011971772LSep 18 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.337640V. Bilobrov3.251111113LSep 18 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.4411570A. Troyan2.631311113LSep 15 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.61681121O. Karpenko2.2011118113WSep 15 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov2.63861181Y. Kovshun1.4411115113
V. Kryvenko10
WSep 19 · 11:35A. Kotiash2.63511851V. Kryvenko1.4411911113LSep 19 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.5011119113V. Kryvenko2.50841131LSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681
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