Eduard Populovskyi vs Serhii Baranskyi 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13155388

Played Sep 19Finished

Eduard Populovskyi

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1614119119––––

Serhii Baranskyi

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 8

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 8

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%

Graded at full time

Serhii Baranskyi to win

62.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingEduard Populovskyi above · Serhii Baranskyi below

Set 1 · 16-14

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 70 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Baranskyi at 62.0%

70 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:50

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Populovskyi

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Populovskyi 1461 vs Baranskyi 1471

Baranskyi

Wrong

both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Populovskyi 40% vs Baranskyi 100%

Baranskyi

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Populovskyi 60% vs Baranskyi 80%

Baranskyi

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Populovskyi +1 · Baranskyi +8

Baranskyi

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Populovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Baranskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPopulovskyi 1.73 / Baranskyi 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Populovskyi)+0.3pp

Setka Cup · #13155388

Populovskyi1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 15)

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite56% won 100 of 180

Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55

Up 1–0, closes it85% 73 of 86

Baranskyi2.00

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 8

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog42% won 14 of 33

Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPopulovskyiBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 689 vs 107 / 20149.4%53.2%340 / 689 vs 107 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Populovskyi

Populovskyi 1.73/Baranskyi 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Populovskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Populovskyi won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

E. Populovskyi10