TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155673
Played Sep 19Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181199111210––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 67.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 17–8 Eduard Populovskyi Eduard Populovskyi has won 8 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-8 in 25
Zaika
Correct
gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1558 vs Populovskyi 1454
Zaika
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 60% vs Populovskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 70% vs Populovskyi 50%
Zaika
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika +3 · Populovskyi -1
Zaika
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Zaika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.40 / Populovskyi 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Zaika)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155673
Zaika1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 68 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Populovskyi2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 46 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaika8wins
AwayPopulovskyi2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZaika leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaika77.8%7 of 9
AwayPopulovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika9Populovskyi1n = 10Zaika took 9 of 10
S2Zaika6Populovskyi4n = 10Zaika took 6 of 10
S3Zaika6Populovskyi4n = 10Zaika took 6 of 10
S4Zaika5Populovskyi3n = 8Zaika took 5 of 8
S5Zaika2Populovskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaikaPopulovskyiZ − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.736.8+5.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 551 vs 341 / 69150.1%49.4%276 / 551 vs 341 / 691Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.40/Populovskyi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 19 · 09:20B. Zaika47117115132E. Populovskyi50511811153
WJun 6 · 18:50B. Zaika48119611113E. Populovskyi4781111892
WMay 31 · 18:50B. Zaika4211119113E. Populovskyi30961141
WMay 10 · 12:20B. Zaika331111113E. Populovskyi225890
WMay 9 · 19:50B. Zaika45111211113E. Populovskyi365101381
WApr 26 · 07:50B. Zaika4211911113E. Populovskyi32611961
WApr 19 · 12:50B. Zaika371511113E. Populovskyi2913970
LApr 18 · 18:50B. Zaika471110111052E. Populovskyi45512512113
WApr 12 · 12:20B. Zaika46711115123E. Populovskyi45115811102
WApr 11 · 18:50B. Zaika4011117113E. Populovskyi32991131
B. Zaika10
WSep 19 · 18:00A. Martyniuk2.633131111102B. Zaika1.441111136123WSep 19 · 16:00B. Zaika1.3311119113S. Baranskyi3.25641171WSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252WSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 16 · 18:30B. Zaika1.5310811111A. Kurtenko2.3812118133LSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181WSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780WSep 16 · 14:30V. Smyk3.50671171B. Zaika1.2811116113LSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 14:00E. Populovskyi1.731611113S. Baranskyi2.0014990WSep 15 · 11:35A. Kovalenko1.831011881E. Populovskyi1.8312911113LSep 15 · 10:35A. Kurtenko1.91111011123E. Populovskyi1.806127101WSep 15 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5011128692E. Populovskyi1.503101111113LSep 15 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.4411119113E. Populovskyi2.63991171LSep 15 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.401111113E. Populovskyi2.759870WSep 13 · 12:50A. Kurtenko1.73101090E. Populovskyi2.001212113LSep 13 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.5051070S. Solomko1.281112113WSep 13 · 09:20O. Tymofeev2.25118115102E. Populovskyi1.57811611123
Upcoming Matches
B. Zaika
Nothing scheduled
E. Populovskyi
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