TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155843
Played Sep 19Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311131111131161012
Bohdan Zaika
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Bohdan Zaika below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 101 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 65.2%
101 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 2–17 Bohdan Zaika Andrii Martyniuk has won 2 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-17 in 19
Zaika
Correct
gap of 15 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1557 vs Zaika 1560
Zaika
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 80% vs Zaika 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 90% vs Zaika 70%
Martyniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +3 · Zaika +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zaika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaika form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 2.63 / Zaika 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Zaika)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13155843
Martyniuk2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Zaika1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 68 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartyniuk1wins
AwayZaika9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZaika leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZaika100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk2Zaika8n = 10Zaika took 8 of 10
S2Martyniuk5Zaika5n = 10split evenly
S3Martyniuk4Zaika5n = 9Zaika took 5 of 9
S4Martyniuk2Zaika6n = 8Zaika took 6 of 8
S5Martyniuk0Zaika3n = 3Zaika took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartyniukZaikaM − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.842.9−4.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukZaikaBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 332 vs 277 / 55253%50.2%176 / 332 vs 277 / 552Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaMartyniuk 2.63/Zaika 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 26 · 09:20A. Martyniuk50911111182B. Zaika46116513113
LJul 18 · 18:00A. Martyniuk388111091B. Zaika4211812113
LApr 24 · 17:10A. Martyniuk33119851B. Zaika3961111113
LFeb 15 · 08:50A. Martyniuk4251111692B. Zaika49117911113
LDec 1 · 06:00A. Martyniuk2182110B. Zaika351111133
LNov 11 · 13:05A. Martyniuk351051191B. Zaika3912115113
LNov 9 · 07:05A. Martyniuk52613914102B. Zaika5711111112123
LOct 30 · 18:50A. Martyniuk31781151B. Zaika4111118113
WOct 17 · 12:50A. Martyniuk4711129153B. Zaika3841011131
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662WSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:00A. Martyniuk1.5068140S. Baranskyi2.501111163WSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150WSep 15 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy2.75371161A. Martyniuk1.4011119113WSep 15 · 08:05O. Osadchyi4.001011651A. Martyniuk1.2212611113WSep 15 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.4411119113E. Populovskyi2.63991171WSep 15 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.634880A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 13 · 11:50O. Osadchyi3.756990A. Martyniuk1.251111113
B. Zaika10
WSep 19 · 17:00B. Zaika1.4011119123E. Populovskyi2.758911101WSep 19 · 16:00B. Zaika1.3311119113S. Baranskyi3.25641171WSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252WSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 16 · 18:30B. Zaika1.5310811111A. Kurtenko2.3812118133LSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181WSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780WSep 16 · 14:30V. Smyk3.50671171B. Zaika1.2811116113LSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113
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