TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315811811––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 66 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 40–32 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 32 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-32 in 72
Kurtenko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1410 vs Solomko 1557
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -4 · Solomko +1
Kurtenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Solomko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.00 / Solomko 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Solomko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161423
Kurtenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 48 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Solomko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it90% 56 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko2wins
AwaySolomko8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko40%2 of 5
AwaySolomko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S4Kurtenko2Solomko7n = 9Solomko took 7 of 9
S5Kurtenko2Solomko3n = 5Solomko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.143.7−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 658 vs 529 / 102852.3%51.5%344 / 658 vs 529 / 1028Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoKurtenko 2.00/Solomko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko351194111S. Solomko3941111133
LSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko4513119572S. Solomko521181111113
LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko341112651S. Solomko45131011113
LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko327111131S. Solomko3711110153
LSep 2 · 05:35A. Kurtenko2413830S. Solomko371511113
WAug 23 · 12:50A. Kurtenko47111168113S. Solomko4578111182
WJul 15 · 11:35A. Kurtenko52111199123S. Solomko43651111102
LJun 17 · 16:20A. Kurtenko531210111192S. Solomko43141242113
LMay 21 · 12:50A. Kurtenko3912211682S. Solomko521011911113
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 20 · 10:50O. Osadchyi1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.207770LSep 20 · 08:50A. Kotiash1.8331114123A. Kurtenko1.8311312101LSep 20 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.8010119101E. Populovskyi1.9112911123LSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020WSep 16 · 18:30B. Zaika1.5310811111A. Kurtenko2.3812118133WSep 16 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.838750A. Kurtenko1.831111113WSep 16 · 16:00V. Smyk1.91571191A. Kurtenko1.8011116113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.531111113A. Kurtenko2.383930LSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762LSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150
S. Solomko10
WSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko1.229111110123E. Populovskyi4.00119812102LSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 07:20A. Kotiash1.80711651S. Solomko1.9111811113WSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi2.256740S. Solomko1.571111113WSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi3.758740S. Solomko1.251111113WSep 19 · 17:30S. Solomko1.44111187113S. Baranskyi2.6376111162WSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181
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