TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142110
Played Sep 17Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119116511511115
Ihor Emets
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Ihor Emets below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 85 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 34–21 Ihor Emets Ihor Emets has won 21 of their 55 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-21 in 55
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 13 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1571 vs Emets 1505
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Emets 40%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Emets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -1 · Emets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.73 / Emets 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142110
Kolesnykov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 91 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Emets2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 47 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov8wins
AwayEmets2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov80%4 of 5
AwayEmets20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Emets5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov8Emets2n = 10Kolesnykov took 8 of 10
S3Kolesnykov6Emets4n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S4Kolesnykov4Emets6n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S5Kolesnykov5Emets2n = 7Kolesnykov took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovEmetsK − EBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.042.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovEmetsBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 670 vs 258 / 50653.3%51%357 / 670 vs 258 / 506Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.73/Emets 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov4411813123I. Emets4081111101
WSep 2 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov471111104113I. Emets4467121182
WAug 27 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov47711115133I. Emets45114811112
WJul 23 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov4071111113I. Emets27112861
WJul 13 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov47911412113I. Emets48118111082
WJul 6 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov3911116113I. Emets33871171
WJun 29 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov49611119123I. Emets43116511102
LJun 22 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov4611119782I. Emets46671111113
LJun 17 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov41511114102I. Emets42112611123
WJun 9 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov501141110143I. Emets52911812122
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 17 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.28971191O. Leonenko3.5011114113WSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.7371090O. Volynets2.001112113WSep 17 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov1.5011115113O. Osadchyi2.50371181WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov2.63861181Y. Kovshun1.4411115113WSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112LSep 15 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov3.00119331A. Troyan1.3681111113WSep 15 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.8311211113O. Karpenko1.83811591WSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123
I. Emets10
LSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113WSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991LSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101WSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461LSep 15 · 08:30I. Emets3.2581191182O. Karpenko1.33118118113LSep 15 · 07:00I. Emets4.33411451Y. Kovshun1.2011211113WSep 15 · 05:00I. Emets1.3611512113A. Troyan3.006111081WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113
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