TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Emets vs Fedir Voinarovskyi 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911115411117116
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ihor Emets at 57.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 9–4 Fedir Voinarovskyi Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Emets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Emets
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1505 vs Voinarovskyi 1429
Emets
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 40% vs Voinarovskyi 20%
Emets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -2 · Voinarovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Emets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.67 / Voinarovskyi 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Emets)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172920
Emets1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite70% won 64 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Voinarovskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 28 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets6wins
AwayVoinarovskyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets80%4 of 5
AwayVoinarovskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets5Voinarovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Emets6Voinarovskyi4n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S3Emets5Voinarovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Emets4Voinarovskyi2n = 6Emets took 4 of 6
S5Emets2Voinarovskyi1n = 3Emets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsVoinarovskyiE − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.535.6+0.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 500 vs 184 / 36150.8%51%254 / 500 vs 184 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.67/Voinarovskyi 2.10
Hit
What we said
57.8%
Emets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets31911741F. Voinarovskyi4211911113
LJul 1 · 09:30I. Emets334117111F. Voinarovskyi4311811133
WJun 17 · 07:00I. Emets331111113F. Voinarovskyi188820
WJun 3 · 09:30I. Emets331111113F. Voinarovskyi165470
WMay 11 · 10:05I. Emets331111113F. Voinarovskyi168530
WApr 30 · 09:30I. Emets4411811143F. Voinarovskyi386119121
LApr 20 · 09:05I. Emets123270F. Voinarovskyi331111113
LApr 16 · 04:30I. Emets47121071172F. Voinarovskyi501012116113
WApr 6 · 11:05I. Emets511011316113F. Voinarovskyi55129111492
WMar 30 · 09:05I. Emets48681112113F. Voinarovskyi45111141092
I. Emets10
LSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113WSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991LSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101WSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461LSep 15 · 08:30I. Emets3.2581191182O. Karpenko1.33118118113LSep 15 · 07:00I. Emets4.33411451Y. Kovshun1.2011211113WSep 15 · 05:00I. Emets1.3611512113A. Troyan3.006111081
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113WSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113LSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011121101O. Osadchyi1.6113147113LSep 17 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.381511113F. Voinarovskyi1.5313460LSep 16 · 18:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831171061V. Smyk1.8371112113WSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181LSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113WSep 16 · 13:30F. Voinarovskyi1.531111113O. Ovsiienko2.385570WSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762
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