TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Filip Strejc vs Vit Benak 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111191176111210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeVit Benak to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Vit Benak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vit Benak at 56.6%
97 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 15–22 Vit Benak Filip Strejc has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:05What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Benak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-22 in 37
Benak
Wrong
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1634 vs Benak 1662
Benak
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 0% vs Benak 60%
Benak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 30% vs Benak 50%
Benak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc -5 · Benak +1
Strejc
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Benak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 2.10 / Benak 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Benak)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13203814
Strejc2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 48 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Benak1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 16 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it52% 12 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc6wins
AwayBenak4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejcn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBenak50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc2Benak8n = 10Benak took 8 of 10
S2Strejc6Benak4n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S3Strejc6Benak4n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S4Strejc6Benak3n = 9Strejc took 6 of 9
S5Strejc3Benak2n = 5Strejc took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcBenakS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.042.4+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 468 vs 79 / 14244.9%55.6%210 / 468 vs 79 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenakStrejc 2.10/Benak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Benak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strejc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc35681561V. Benak46111113113
WJun 1 · 18:15F. Strejc54791111163V. Benak51111196142
LJun 1 · 15:55F. Strejc184680V. Benak331111113
WApr 27 · 18:45F. Strejc4691311133V. Benak3711114111
WApr 27 · 15:55F. Strejc3961111113V. Benak28114671
WApr 20 · 14:55F. Strejc47117117113V. Benak4561181192
LApr 15 · 18:00F. Strejc4281151172V. Benak49117119113
LApr 15 · 16:55F. Strejc50811141162V. Benak51116167113
WApr 11 · 07:25F. Strejc541111138113V. Benak4135151172
WApr 2 · 18:39F. Strejc4541112183V. Benak4311610161
F. Strejc10
LSep 27 · 14:17F. Strejc2.257990O. Kadavy1.571111113LSep 27 · 11:55M. Cerny1.91119116113F. Strejc1.8061161172LSep 27 · 11:25O. Kadavy1.91115411123F. Strejc1.80711117102LSep 25 · 21:30F. Strejc2.509660T. Vorisek1.501111113LSep 25 · 20:50M. Stusek1.80116211123F. Strejc1.91611118102LSep 25 · 19:50F. Strejc2.2010850D. Jicha1.611211113WSep 25 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.617111112142F. Strejc2.20117914163WSep 18 · 21:30F. Strejc2.001111113M. Stusek1.734940LSep 18 · 20:50F. Cernota1.611111911113F. Strejc2.2013711992LSep 18 · 19:50F. Strejc2.2012681162D. Jicha1.611011117113
V. Benak10
WSep 27 · 12:25V. Benak1.8011611143O. Kadavy1.919111121LSep 27 · 10:55M. Cerny2.00711119113V. Benak1.7311881172WSep 7 · 17:53V. Benak1.83961211133T. Flicek1.831111105112WSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123
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