TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Kadavy vs Filip Strejc 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1175114111171210
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Strejc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 89 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Filip Strejc at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 8–16 Filip Strejc Ondrej Kadavy has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Strejc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-16 in 24
Strejc
Wrong
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1743 vs Strejc 1633
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 60% vs Strejc 40%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 60% vs Strejc 40%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy +1 · Strejc -3
Strejc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 1.91 / Strejc 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kadavy)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13202894
Kadavy1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 34 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Strejc1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite39% won 18 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy4wins
AwayStrejc6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy57.1%4 of 7
AwayStrejc100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy7Strejc3n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S2Kadavy2Strejc8n = 10Strejc took 8 of 10
S3Kadavy5Strejc5n = 10split evenly
S4Kadavy3Strejc5n = 8Strejc took 5 of 8
S5Kadavy2Strejc2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyStrejcK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.5−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 323 vs 213 / 47057.9%45.3%187 / 323 vs 213 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKadavy 1.91/Strejc 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 16:25O. Kadavy341112113F. Strejc2681080
LSep 11 · 22:33O. Kadavy2889110F. Strejc351111133
WSep 11 · 20:25O. Kadavy49119117113F. Strejc4471161192
LSep 1 · 14:55O. Kadavy4181110121F. Strejc4211512143
WAug 21 · 18:55O. Kadavy46115127113F. Strejc46811101162
LAug 19 · 18:30O. Kadavy331081141F. Strejc3512111113
LAug 19 · 16:55O. Kadavy29117651F. Strejc3851111113
LAug 16 · 08:55O. Kadavy4011861142F. Strejc47911115113
LAug 12 · 16:55O. Kadavy48119111162F. Strejc51811138113
WAug 8 · 22:23O. Kadavy4111811113F. Strejc31911471
O. Kadavy10
WSep 25 · 10:29O. Kadavy1.36158911113M. Cerny3.00131111502LSep 25 · 09:25D. Vesecky2.0011911113O. Kadavy1.73811491WSep 25 · 08:25O. Kadavy1.3311127113M. Cerny3.256101181WSep 25 · 06:55J. Kocab2.638420O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 24 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.6186111192D. Bochnak2.20111133113WSep 24 · 17:25T. Flicek1.8311116132O. Kadavy1.83681111113WSep 24 · 16:25O. Kadavy1.6111911113D. Bochnak2.20811591LSep 24 · 14:55M. Cerny3.5011911123O. Kadavy1.285115101WSep 21 · 21:58M. Stusek1.7341171142O. Kadavy2.00113115113LSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83711811153O. Kadavy1.83117118132
F. Strejc10
LSep 27 · 11:55M. Cerny1.91119116113F. Strejc1.8061161172LSep 25 · 21:30F. Strejc2.509660T. Vorisek1.501111113LSep 25 · 20:50M. Stusek1.80116211123F. Strejc1.91611118102LSep 25 · 19:50F. Strejc2.2010850D. Jicha1.611211113WSep 25 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.617111112142F. Strejc2.20117914163WSep 18 · 21:30F. Strejc2.001111113M. Stusek1.734940LSep 18 · 20:50F. Cernota1.611111911113F. Strejc2.2013711992LSep 18 · 19:50F. Strejc2.2012681162D. Jicha1.611011117113WSep 18 · 18:20M. Stusek1.808850F. Strejc1.911111113LSep 15 · 17:54F. Strejc1.80101170T. Flicek1.911213113
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