TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13136208
Played Sep 15Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121113711––––
Tomas Flicek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Tomas Flicek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 64 set 3, 7-11
64 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 20–16 Tomas Flicek Tomas Flicek has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Strejc beat Flicek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Strejc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flicek form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 1.80 / Flicek 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Strejc)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13136208
Strejc1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite40% won 18 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it68% 13 of 19
Flicek1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc6wins
AwayFlicek4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc71.4%5 of 7
AwayFlicek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc7Flicek3n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S2Strejc6Flicek4n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S3Strejc4Flicek6n = 10Flicek took 6 of 10
S4Strejc6Flicek4n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S5Strejc3Flicek4n = 7Flicek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcFlicekS − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.4+2.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcFlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 466 vs 60 / 13045.5%46.2%212 / 466 vs 60 / 130Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrejcStrejc 1.80/Flicek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Strejc · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Flicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 17:25F. Strejc3611113113T. Flicek29771141
WSep 2 · 17:54F. Strejc43111011113T. Flicek31912641
LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc4191121182T. Flicek48119116113
LAug 27 · 17:25F. Strejc49111012882T. Flicek528121011113
WAug 19 · 15:55F. Strejc41113115113T. Flicek4691161192
LMar 26 · 17:55F. Strejc43113111082T. Flicek43611312113
WFeb 25 · 18:25F. Strejc4211119113T. Flicek32671181
WFeb 19 · 19:40F. Strejc4611119783T. Flicek3976111142
WFeb 19 · 16:25F. Strejc44711411113T. Flicek4211611772
LFeb 4 · 17:25F. Strejc50111171292T. Flicek521381110103
F. Strejc10
WSep 15 · 17:25T. Flicek1.83771141F. Strejc1.8311113113LSep 15 · 16:25F. Strejc1.8081080O. Kadavy1.911112113WSep 15 · 14:55L. Soucek2.201111881F. Strejc1.6191311113LSep 13 · 10:04M. Stusek1.6711411133F. Strejc2.109116111WSep 13 · 09:25M. Stusek1.73117781F. Strejc2.0091111113LSep 13 · 08:25F. Strejc1.61671131L. Soucek2.2011117113LSep 13 · 06:55T. Vorisek1.53111110113F. Strejc2.38791241WSep 11 · 22:33F. Strejc1.831111133O. Kadavy1.8389110WSep 11 · 21:25T. Vorisek1.6171191162F. Strejc2.20112119113LSep 11 · 20:25F. Strejc1.8371161192O. Kadavy1.83119117113
T. Flicek10
LSep 15 · 17:25T. Flicek1.83771141F. Strejc1.8311113113LSep 15 · 15:55L. Soucek1.911114113T. Flicek1.8041280LSep 15 · 15:25O. Kadavy1.5311912113T. Flicek2.388111051LSep 7 · 17:53V. Benak1.83961211133T. Flicek1.831111105112LSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101LSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780LSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251
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