TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Stusek vs Ondrej Kadavy 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411113711115411
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 78 set 5, 4-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 19–11 Ondrej Kadavy Ondrej Kadavy has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 1.73 / Kadavy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stusek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13173557
Stusek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 57 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it69% 45 of 65
Kadavy2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 33 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek6wins
AwayKadavy4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStusek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek75%3 of 4
AwayKadavy50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S2Stusek5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S3Stusek5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S4Stusek5Kadavy2n = 7Stusek took 5 of 7
S5Stusek2Kadavy1n = 3Stusek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekKadavyS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.936.8+0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 684 vs 181 / 31447.7%57.6%326 / 684 vs 181 / 314Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekStusek 1.73/Kadavy 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek52711811153O. Kadavy50117118132
LSep 15 · 20:55M. Stusek154470O. Kadavy331111113
WSep 11 · 20:55M. Stusek471131111113O. Kadavy4413116682
LAug 14 · 21:58M. Stusek4261111862O. Kadavy43114611113
WAug 14 · 20:55M. Stusek3711114113O. Kadavy32861171
LAug 8 · 19:55M. Stusek2271140O. Kadavy351113113
LAug 2 · 15:25M. Stusek29115851O. Kadavy4181111113
WJul 28 · 21:55M. Stusek46111311113O. Kadavy37715691
WJul 28 · 20:55M. Stusek4691111153O. Kadavy411189131
WJul 26 · 13:59M. Stusek331111113O. Kadavy126510
M. Stusek10
WSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83711811153O. Kadavy1.83117118132WSep 21 · 19:55M. Stusek2.75114119143J. Zlamal1.40911711122LSep 21 · 18:55M. Stusek1.8313990T. Vorisek1.831511113LSep 18 · 21:30F. Strejc2.001111113M. Stusek1.734940LSep 18 · 20:20M. Stusek2.2571120D. Jicha1.571113113WSep 18 · 19:20M. Stusek1.731111113F. Cernota2.009680LSep 18 · 18:20M. Stusek1.808850F. Strejc1.911111113WSep 17 · 22:08M. Stusek1.8011711113P. Silhan1.91811311WSep 17 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.4091111352M. Stusek2.75119911113WSep 17 · 20:25M. Stusek1.6771211113P. Silhan2.101110581
O. Kadavy10
LSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83711811153O. Kadavy1.83117118132LSep 21 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67101111113O. Kadavy2.10128891LSep 21 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.258511101J. Zlamal1.3311113123WSep 17 · 18:05O. Kadavy1.331113113M. Cerny3.2551170LSep 17 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.61612100J. Zacharda2.201114123LSep 17 · 15:55O. Kadavy1.619370D. Bochnak2.201111113WSep 17 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.441111113M. Cerny2.633420LSep 15 · 22:25J. Zlamal1.601111113O. Kadavy2.206790WSep 15 · 20:55M. Stusek1.734470O. Kadavy2.001111113WSep 15 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67412111182O. Kadavy2.101110137113
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