TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118118119––
Ondrej Kadavy
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 30–20 Ondrej Kadavy Ondrej Kadavy has won 20 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-20 in 50
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 10 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1693 vs Kadavy 1724
Kadavy
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Kadavy 40%
Vorisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 30% vs Kadavy 50%
Kadavy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +1 · Kadavy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.67 / Kadavy 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13168730
Vorisek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 96 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it86% 73 of 85
Kadavy2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 33 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek7wins
AwayKadavy3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%5 of 5
AwayKadavy60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S2Vorisek8Kadavy2n = 10Vorisek took 8 of 10
S3Vorisek4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S4Vorisek6Kadavy2n = 8Vorisek took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekKadavyV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.436.1+3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 801 vs 181 / 31250.7%58%406 / 801 vs 181 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.67/Kadavy 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 20:25T. Vorisek46412111182O. Kadavy521110137113
LSep 11 · 19:25T. Vorisek32711861O. Kadavy4011711113
WAug 21 · 22:58T. Vorisek48121186113O. Kadavy45108111152
WAug 21 · 19:55T. Vorisek48111114123O. Kadavy398516101
LAug 19 · 16:25T. Vorisek2248100O. Kadavy341111123
WAug 17 · 19:55T. Vorisek3961111113O. Kadavy31115871
WAug 16 · 09:54T. Vorisek3812411113O. Kadavy371011971
WAug 16 · 08:25T. Vorisek331111113O. Kadavy237970
WAug 14 · 18:55T. Vorisek45101113113O. Kadavy301251121
WAug 12 · 16:25T. Vorisek4312119113O. Kadavy301051141
T. Vorisek10
WSep 21 · 18:55M. Stusek1.8313990T. Vorisek1.831511113LSep 17 · 22:38T. Vorisek2.38101040J. Zlamal1.531212113WSep 17 · 20:55T. Vorisek1.671111113P. Silhan2.102990LSep 17 · 19:55T. Vorisek2.63961161J. Zlamal1.4411119113WSep 17 · 18:55T. Vorisek1.731111193M. Stusek2.0099170LSep 15 · 21:53M. Stusek2.3891211113T. Vorisek1.531110471LSep 15 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.611111113T. Vorisek2.209860LSep 15 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67412111182O. Kadavy2.101110137113LSep 15 · 18:55M. Stusek1.911111113T. Vorisek1.803970LSep 13 · 10:29T. Vorisek1.531251191L. Soucek2.3814115113
O. Kadavy10
LSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83711811153O. Kadavy1.83117118132LSep 21 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.258511101J. Zlamal1.3311113123WSep 17 · 18:05O. Kadavy1.331113113M. Cerny3.2551170LSep 17 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.61612100J. Zacharda2.201114123LSep 17 · 15:55O. Kadavy1.619370D. Bochnak2.201111113WSep 17 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.441111113M. Cerny2.633420LSep 15 · 22:25J. Zlamal1.601111113O. Kadavy2.206790WSep 15 · 20:55M. Stusek1.734470O. Kadavy2.001111113WSep 15 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67412111182O. Kadavy2.101110137113LSep 15 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.2511117982J. Zlamal1.33991111113
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