TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145227
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaromir Zlamal
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119119311511
Martin Stusek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:22 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaromir Zlamal above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 70.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Zlamal 94–44 Martin Stusek Martin Stusek has won 44 of their 138 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:22What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zlamal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
94-44 in 138
Zlamal
Wrong
gap of 50 in 138, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zlamal 1923 vs Stusek 1733
Zlamal
Wrong
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zlamal 100% vs Stusek 40%
Zlamal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zlamal 80% vs Stusek 50%
Zlamal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zlamal +5 · Stusek +1
Zlamal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZlamal 1.40 / Stusek 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Zlamal)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13145227
Zlamal1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 86 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 65 of 73
Stusek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 77 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back16% 13 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZlamal9wins
AwayStusek1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZlamal100%7 of 7
AwayStusek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zlamal7Stusek3n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S2Zlamal7Stusek3n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S3Zlamal10Stusek0n = 10Zlamal took 10 of 10
S4Zlamal4Stusek0n = 4Zlamal took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZlamalStusekZ − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.526.6+10.9per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZlamalStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 331 vs 322 / 68062.5%47.4%207 / 331 vs 322 / 680Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalZlamal 1.40/Stusek 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 19:55J. Zlamal331111113M. Stusek228590
WSep 9 · 22:00J. Zlamal331111113M. Stusek239590
WSep 9 · 19:55J. Zlamal48961111113M. Stusek3911114942
WSep 8 · 21:25J. Zlamal4211911113M. Stusek33811681
LSep 4 · 18:50J. Zlamal4396111162M. Stusek45111175113
WSep 1 · 19:55J. Zlamal331111113M. Stusek163850
WAug 26 · 20:25J. Zlamal331111113M. Stusek199730
WAug 26 · 19:55J. Zlamal331111113M. Stusek199730
WAug 24 · 20:55J. Zlamal371211143M. Stusek24102120
WAug 11 · 19:55J. Zlamal4071111113M. Stusek26115461
J. Zlamal10
WSep 17 · 22:38T. Vorisek2.38101040J. Zlamal1.531212113WSep 17 · 19:55T. Vorisek2.63961161J. Zlamal1.4411119113WSep 17 · 19:25P. Silhan2.38121191162J. Zlamal1.53146117113WSep 15 · 22:25J. Zlamal1.601111113O. Kadavy2.206790WSep 15 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.611111113T. Vorisek2.209860WSep 15 · 19:55M. Stusek2.638590J. Zlamal1.441111113WSep 15 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.2511117982J. Zlamal1.33991111113WSep 9 · 22:00J. Zlamal1.441111113M. Stusek2.639590LSep 9 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.7368120T. Vorisek2.001111143WSep 9 · 19:55M. Stusek2.6311114942J. Zlamal1.44961111113
M. Stusek10
WSep 17 · 22:08M. Stusek1.8011711113P. Silhan1.91811311WSep 17 · 20:25M. Stusek1.6771211113P. Silhan2.101110581LSep 17 · 18:55T. Vorisek1.731111193M. Stusek2.0099170WSep 15 · 21:53M. Stusek2.3891211113T. Vorisek1.531110471LSep 15 · 20:55M. Stusek1.734470O. Kadavy2.001111113LSep 15 · 19:55M. Stusek2.638590J. Zlamal1.441111113WSep 15 · 18:55M. Stusek1.911111113T. Vorisek1.803970WSep 13 · 10:04M. Stusek1.6711411133F. Strejc2.109116111LSep 9 · 22:00J. Zlamal1.441111113M. Stusek2.639590LSep 9 · 19:55M. Stusek2.6311114942J. Zlamal1.44961111113
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