TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145277
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210115118––
Petr Silhan
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:32 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMartin Stusek to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Petr Silhan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Martin Stusek at 56.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 43–26 Petr Silhan Petr Silhan has won 26 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-26 in 69
Stusek
Correct
gap of 17 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1720 vs Silhan 1762
Silhan
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 40% vs Silhan 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 50% vs Silhan 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -1 · Silhan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 1.67 / Silhan 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Stusek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13145277
Stusek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 54 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it68% 43 of 63
Silhan2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 21 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek4wins
AwaySilhan6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSilhan leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek25%1 of 4
AwaySilhan50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek4Silhan6n = 10Silhan took 6 of 10
S2Stusek8Silhan2n = 10Stusek took 8 of 10
S3Stusek5Silhan5n = 10split evenly
S4Stusek4Silhan6n = 10Silhan took 6 of 10
S5Stusek1Silhan4n = 5Silhan took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekSilhanStusek − SilhanBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.644.5−1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekSilhanBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 680 vs 89 / 18147.4%49.2%322 / 680 vs 89 / 181Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekStusek 1.67/Silhan 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 20:25M. Stusek4171211113P. Silhan341110581
LSep 8 · 19:55M. Stusek3911113862P. Silhan48781111113
WAug 5 · 21:25M. Stusek4071111113P. Silhan37118991
WJul 27 · 19:50M. Stusek46711143113P. Silhan51119121182
LJul 23 · 20:55M. Stusek53161171092P. Silhan561481112113
LJul 21 · 21:18M. Stusek49118811112P. Silhan48611117133
LJul 21 · 20:20M. Stusek35711981P. Silhan3811511113
LJul 15 · 20:55M. Stusek4661312692P. Silhan5411111011113
WJul 8 · 19:55M. Stusek4511914113P. Silhan399111271
LJun 29 · 20:20M. Stusek32911571P. Silhan4011711113
M. Stusek10
WSep 17 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.4091111352M. Stusek2.75119911113LSep 17 · 18:55T. Vorisek1.731111193M. Stusek2.0099170WSep 15 · 21:53M. Stusek2.3891211113T. Vorisek1.531110471LSep 15 · 20:55M. Stusek1.734470O. Kadavy2.001111113LSep 15 · 19:55M. Stusek2.638590J. Zlamal1.441111113WSep 15 · 18:55M. Stusek1.911111113T. Vorisek1.803970WSep 13 · 10:04M. Stusek1.6711411133F. Strejc2.109116111LSep 13 · 09:25M. Stusek1.73117781F. Strejc2.0091111113LSep 13 · 07:55T. Vorisek1.6712611143M. Stusek2.1010118121WSep 13 · 07:25L. Soucek2.385711141M. Stusek1.5311118163
P. Silhan10
LSep 17 · 20:55T. Vorisek1.671111113P. Silhan2.102990LSep 17 · 19:25P. Silhan2.38121191162J. Zlamal1.53146117113LSep 8 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.601113113P. Silhan2.2071170WSep 8 · 20:55P. Silhan2.1011511153T. Vorisek1.676114131WSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 21:25P. Silhan2.10118991M. Stusek1.6771111113LAug 5 · 19:55T. Vorisek1.73111011113P. Silhan2.00612761WAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl2.50118101182P. Silhan1.50711127113
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