TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12365567
Played Aug 5Finished
Petr Silhan
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811911911––
Martin Stusek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Silhan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Silhan above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr Silhan at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Petr Silhan 25–41 Martin Stusek Petr Silhan has won 25 of their 66 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 11:25What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-41 in 66
Stusek
Correct
gap of 16 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Silhan 1751 vs Stusek 1674
Silhan
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Silhan 40% vs Stusek 60%
Stusek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Silhan 60% vs Stusek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Silhan -1 · Stusek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stusek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSilhan 2.10 / Stusek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stusek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #12365567
Silhan2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 24 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Stusek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 67 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it76% 50 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSilhan7wins
AwayStusek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSilhan leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSilhan83.3%5 of 6
AwayStusek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Silhan6Stusek4n = 10Silhan took 6 of 10
S2Silhan3Stusek7n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S3Silhan6Stusek4n = 10Silhan took 6 of 10
S4Silhan6Stusek4n = 10Silhan took 6 of 10
S5Silhan4Stusek1n = 5Silhan took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSilhanStusekSilhan − StusekBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.541.8+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSilhanStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 179 vs 322 / 68749.7%46.9%89 / 179 vs 322 / 687Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SilhanSilhan 2.10/Stusek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 19:50P. Silhan—119121182M. Stusek—711143113
WJul 23 · 20:55P. Silhan—1481112113M. Stusek—161171092
WJul 21 · 21:18P. Silhan—611117133M. Stusek—118811112
WJul 21 · 20:20P. Silhan—11511113M. Stusek—711981
WJul 15 · 20:55P. Silhan—11111011113M. Stusek—61312692
LJul 8 · 19:55P. Silhan—9111271M. Stusek—11914113
WJun 29 · 20:20P. Silhan—11711113M. Stusek—911571
WJun 24 · 20:20P. Silhan—1141112113M. Stusek—71151472
LJun 9 · 22:30P. Silhan—1511791M. Stusek—17511113
WJun 9 · 20:25P. Silhan—11511113M. Stusek—411721
P. Silhan10
WSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 19:55T. Vorisek1.73111011113P. Silhan2.00612761WAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl2.50118101182P. Silhan1.50711127113LJul 27 · 21:48P. Silhan2.006580T. Vorisek1.731111113WJul 27 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.73911791P. Silhan2.0011411113LJul 27 · 19:50M. Stusek1.61711143113P. Silhan2.20119121182WJul 27 · 18:50P. Silhan1.80115611113D. Jicha1.9151111752WJul 23 · 22:35T. Vorisek2.106101171P. Silhan1.6711125113
M. Stusek10
LSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WJul 27 · 19:50M. Stusek1.61711143113P. Silhan2.20119121182
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