TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12309320
Played Jul 27Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114711911––
Petr Silhan
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Silhan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Petr Silhan below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr Silhan at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 55–34 Petr Silhan Petr Silhan has won 34 of their 89 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 10:38What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-34 in 89
Vorisek
Wrong
gap of 21 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1778 vs Silhan 1773
Vorisek
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 80% vs Silhan 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 70% vs Silhan 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +2 · Silhan +3
Silhan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Silhan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Silhan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.73 / Silhan 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Silhan)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #12309320
Vorisek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite53% won 76 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it79% 59 of 75
Silhan2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 26 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek5wins
AwaySilhan5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%5 of 5
AwaySilhan100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek5Silhan5n = 10split evenly
S2Vorisek3Silhan7n = 10Silhan took 7 of 10
S3Vorisek7Silhan3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S4Vorisek3Silhan5n = 8Silhan took 5 of 8
S5Vorisek3Silhan2n = 5Vorisek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekSilhanV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.0−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekSilhanBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 793 vs 91 / 18050.7%50.6%402 / 793 vs 91 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SilhanVorisek 1.73/Silhan 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Silhan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Silhan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 23 · 22:35T. Vorisek—6101171P. Silhan—11125113
WJul 23 · 19:55T. Vorisek—119512113P. Silhan—811111092
WJul 21 · 19:50T. Vorisek—116114113P. Silhan—81191172
LJul 15 · 19:55T. Vorisek—76111152P. Silhan—111181113
LJul 8 · 22:30T. Vorisek—91111882P. Silhan—115211113
LJul 8 · 21:25T. Vorisek—781171P. Silhan—11114113
WJun 29 · 21:55T. Vorisek—1111113P. Silhan—9960
WJun 29 · 19:50T. Vorisek—131145113P. Silhan—115111192
LJun 24 · 22:00T. Vorisek—9380P. Silhan—1111113
WJun 24 · 19:50T. Vorisek—11611113P. Silhan—811861
T. Vorisek10
LSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120LSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760LSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha1.731211113T. Vorisek2.0010660WSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133
P. Silhan10
WSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 21:25P. Silhan2.10118991M. Stusek1.6771111113LAug 5 · 19:55T. Vorisek1.73111011113P. Silhan2.00612761WAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl2.50118101182P. Silhan1.50711127113LJul 27 · 21:48P. Silhan2.006580T. Vorisek1.731111113LJul 27 · 19:50M. Stusek1.61711143113P. Silhan2.20119121182WJul 27 · 18:50P. Silhan1.80115611113D. Jicha1.9151111752WJul 23 · 22:35T. Vorisek2.106101171P. Silhan1.6711125113
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