TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12365559
Played Aug 5Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161012117116––
Petr Silhan
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Silhan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Petr Silhan below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Petr Silhan at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 56–35 Petr Silhan Petr Silhan has won 35 of their 91 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 11:26What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-35 in 91
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 21 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1704 vs Silhan 1758
Silhan
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 40% vs Silhan 60%
Silhan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 30% vs Silhan 70%
Silhan
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +1 · Silhan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Silhan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.73 / Silhan 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Silhan)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #12365559
Vorisek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 78 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 61 of 76
Silhan2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 24 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek5wins
AwaySilhan5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%5 of 5
AwaySilhan100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek5Silhan5n = 10split evenly
S2Vorisek5Silhan5n = 10split evenly
S3Vorisek7Silhan3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S4Vorisek2Silhan6n = 8Silhan took 6 of 8
S5Vorisek3Silhan2n = 5Vorisek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekSilhanV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.138.0+1.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekSilhanBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 803 vs 89 / 17950.6%49.7%406 / 803 vs 89 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SilhanVorisek 1.73/Silhan 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Silhan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 21:48T. Vorisek—1111113P. Silhan—6580
LJul 27 · 20:20T. Vorisek—911791P. Silhan—11411113
LJul 23 · 22:35T. Vorisek—6101171P. Silhan—11125113
WJul 23 · 19:55T. Vorisek—119512113P. Silhan—811111092
WJul 21 · 19:50T. Vorisek—116114113P. Silhan—81191172
LJul 15 · 19:55T. Vorisek—76111152P. Silhan—111181113
LJul 8 · 22:30T. Vorisek—91111882P. Silhan—115211113
LJul 8 · 21:25T. Vorisek—781171P. Silhan—11114113
WJun 29 · 21:55T. Vorisek—1111113P. Silhan—9960
WJun 29 · 19:50T. Vorisek—131145113P. Silhan—115111192
T. Vorisek10
LSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120LSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760LSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha1.731211113T. Vorisek2.0010660WSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133
P. Silhan10
WSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 21:25P. Silhan2.10118991M. Stusek1.6771111113WAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl2.50118101182P. Silhan1.50711127113LJul 27 · 21:48P. Silhan2.006580T. Vorisek1.731111113WJul 27 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.73911791P. Silhan2.0011411113LJul 27 · 19:50M. Stusek1.61711143113P. Silhan2.20119121182WJul 27 · 18:50P. Silhan1.80115611113D. Jicha1.9151111752WJul 23 · 22:35T. Vorisek2.106101171P. Silhan1.6711125113
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