TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12365549
Played Aug 5Finished
Ales Hanl
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1178111012117811
Petr Silhan
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timePetr Silhan to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Hanl above · Petr Silhan below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Petr Silhan at 62.5%
96 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hanl 0–3 Petr Silhan Ales Hanl has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Silhan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Silhan
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanl 1614 vs Silhan 1758
Silhan
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanl 20% vs Silhan 60%
Silhan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanl 20% vs Silhan 70%
Silhan
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanl +1 · Silhan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Silhan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanl form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanl 2.50 / Silhan 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Silhan)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12365549
Hanl2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 6 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back33% 3 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Silhan1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite82% won 14 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHanl0wins
AwaySilhan3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSilhan leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanl2Silhan1n = 3Hanl took 2 of 3
S2Hanl0Silhan3n = 3Silhan took 3 of 3
S3Hanl0Silhan3n = 3Silhan took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHanlSilhanH − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.741.7−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanlSilhanBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 25 vs 89 / 17940%49.7%10 / 25 vs 89 / 179Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SilhanHanl 2.50/Silhan 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Silhan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Silhan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl—118101182P. Silhan—711127113
LJul 8 · 19:25A. Hanl—3270P. Silhan—1111113
LMay 27 · 19:25A. Hanl—137991P. Silhan—111111113
A. Hanl10
LAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 20:55T. Vorisek1.80711112113A. Hanl1.9111461182LAug 5 · 20:25M. Stusek1.441110311113A. Hanl2.6341211662WJul 14 · 21:53O. Kadavy1.3081170A. Hanl3.401113113LJul 14 · 20:55A. Hanl2.106690O. Kadavy1.671111113LJul 14 · 19:55A. Hanl2.00111141092T. Vorisek1.73631112113LJul 14 · 18:55A. Hanl2.5029130M. Stusek1.501111153LJul 8 · 21:58A. Hanl2.206670M. Stusek1.611111113WJul 8 · 20:55M. Stusek1.67117871A. Hanl2.1081111113LJul 8 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.831111113A. Hanl1.836450
P. Silhan10
WSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 21:25P. Silhan2.10118991M. Stusek1.6771111113LAug 5 · 19:55T. Vorisek1.73111011113P. Silhan2.00612761LJul 27 · 21:48P. Silhan2.006580T. Vorisek1.731111113WJul 27 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.73911791P. Silhan2.0011411113LJul 27 · 19:50M. Stusek1.61711143113P. Silhan2.20119121182WJul 27 · 18:50P. Silhan1.80115611113D. Jicha1.9151111752WJul 23 · 22:35T. Vorisek2.106101171P. Silhan1.6711125113
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