TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12225444
Played Jul 14Finished
Ales Hanl
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
2119111315––––
Martin Stusek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAles Hanl above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 61 set 3, 13-15
61 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hanl 2–2 Martin Stusek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Stusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanl form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanl 2.50 / Stusek 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Stusek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12225444
Hanl2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back43% 3 of 7
Stusek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite47% won 61 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it73% 45 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHanl2wins
AwayStusek2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayStusek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanl1Stusek3n = 4Stusek took 3 of 4
S2Hanl2Stusek2n = 4split evenly
S3Hanl3Stusek1n = 4Hanl took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricHanlStusekH − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match31.033.0−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanlStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 20 vs 324 / 68745%47.2%9 / 20 vs 324 / 687Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekHanl 2.50/Stusek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 8 · 21:58A. Hanl—6670M. Stusek—1111113
WJul 8 · 20:55A. Hanl—81111113M. Stusek—117871
WMay 27 · 22:00A. Hanl—1111113M. Stusek—9840
LMay 27 · 19:55A. Hanl—541481M. Stusek—111112113
A. Hanl10
LAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 20:55T. Vorisek1.80711112113A. Hanl1.9111461182LAug 5 · 20:25M. Stusek1.441110311113A. Hanl2.6341211662LAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl2.50118101182P. Silhan1.50711127113WJul 14 · 21:53O. Kadavy1.3081170A. Hanl3.401113113LJul 14 · 20:55A. Hanl2.106690O. Kadavy1.671111113LJul 14 · 19:55A. Hanl2.00111141092T. Vorisek1.73631112113LJul 8 · 21:58A. Hanl2.206670M. Stusek1.611111113WJul 8 · 20:55M. Stusek1.67117871A. Hanl2.1081111113LJul 8 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.831111113A. Hanl1.836450
M. Stusek10
LSep 8 · 21:25M. Stusek2.63811681J. Zlamal1.4411911113LSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WAug 5 · 20:25M. Stusek1.441110311113A. Hanl2.6341211662WJul 8 · 21:58A. Hanl2.206670M. Stusek1.611111113LJul 8 · 20:55M. Stusek1.67117871A. Hanl2.1081111113
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