TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12365538
Played Aug 5Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711114116211118
Ales Hanl
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Ales Hanl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 82 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 3–2 Ales Hanl Ales Hanl has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1718 vs Hanl 1604
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Hanl 20%
Vorisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 40% vs Hanl 20%
Vorisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +2 · Hanl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanl form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.80 / Hanl 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorisek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12365538
Vorisek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 78 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 61 of 76
Hanl1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 6 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back33% 3 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVorisek3wins
AwayHanl2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVorisek leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek66.7%2 of 3
AwayHanln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek3Hanl2n = 5Vorisek took 3 of 5
S2Vorisek2Hanl3n = 5Hanl took 3 of 5
S3Vorisek2Hanl3n = 5Hanl took 3 of 5
S4Vorisek3Hanl1n = 4Vorisek took 3 of 4
S5Vorisek2Hanl1n = 3Vorisek took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVorisekHanlV − HBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.439.8+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekHanlBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 803 vs 10 / 2550.6%40%406 / 803 vs 10 / 25Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.80/Hanl 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 14 · 19:55T. Vorisek—631112113A. Hanl—111141092
WJul 8 · 20:25T. Vorisek—1111113A. Hanl—6450
WJun 1 · 18:45T. Vorisek—1141111113A. Hanl—91113482
LJun 1 · 16:25T. Vorisek—81191652A. Hanl—1151114113
LMay 27 · 21:25T. Vorisek—116891A. Hanl—91111113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 8 · 20:55P. Silhan2.1011511153T. Vorisek1.676114131LSep 8 · 20:25J. Zlamal1.6111911113T. Vorisek2.20911961WSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120LSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760LSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha1.731211113T. Vorisek2.0010660WSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113
A. Hanl10
LAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 20:25M. Stusek1.441110311113A. Hanl2.6341211662LAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl2.50118101182P. Silhan1.50711127113WJul 14 · 21:53O. Kadavy1.3081170A. Hanl3.401113113LJul 14 · 20:55A. Hanl2.106690O. Kadavy1.671111113LJul 14 · 19:55A. Hanl2.00111141092T. Vorisek1.73631112113LJul 14 · 18:55A. Hanl2.5029130M. Stusek1.501111153LJul 8 · 21:58A. Hanl2.206670M. Stusek1.611111113WJul 8 · 20:55M. Stusek1.67117871A. Hanl2.1081111113LJul 8 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.831111113A. Hanl1.836450
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