TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12309332
Played Jul 27Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111191412311118
Petr Silhan
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Stusek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Petr Silhan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Martin Stusek at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 40–25 Petr Silhan Petr Silhan has won 25 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-25 in 65
Stusek
Correct
gap of 15 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1700 vs Silhan 1773
Silhan
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 20% vs Silhan 80%
Silhan
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 40% vs Silhan 60%
Silhan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -1 · Silhan +3
Silhan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Silhan) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Silhan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 1.61 / Silhan 2.20
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Silhan)+11.7pp
TT Cup · #12309332
Stusek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 65 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Silhan2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 26 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek3wins
AwaySilhan7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSilhan leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek50%2 of 4
AwaySilhan83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek4Silhan6n = 10Silhan took 6 of 10
S2Stusek7Silhan3n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S3Stusek4Silhan6n = 10Silhan took 6 of 10
S4Stusek5Silhan5n = 10split evenly
S5Stusek0Silhan4n = 4Silhan took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekSilhanStusek − SilhanBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.243.5−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekSilhanBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 685 vs 91 / 18046.9%50.6%321 / 685 vs 91 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SilhanStusek 1.61/Silhan 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Silhan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 23 · 20:55M. Stusek—161171092P. Silhan—1481112113
LJul 21 · 21:18M. Stusek—118811112P. Silhan—611117133
LJul 21 · 20:20M. Stusek—711981P. Silhan—11511113
LJul 15 · 20:55M. Stusek—61312692P. Silhan—11111011113
WJul 8 · 19:55M. Stusek—11914113P. Silhan—9111271
LJun 29 · 20:20M. Stusek—911571P. Silhan—11711113
LJun 24 · 20:20M. Stusek—71151472P. Silhan—1141112113
WJun 9 · 22:30M. Stusek—17511113P. Silhan—1511791
LJun 9 · 20:25M. Stusek—411721P. Silhan—11511113
WJun 3 · 21:35M. Stusek—61112113P. Silhan—1151051
M. Stusek10
LSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162
P. Silhan10
WSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 21:25P. Silhan2.10118991M. Stusek1.6771111113LAug 5 · 19:55T. Vorisek1.73111011113P. Silhan2.00612761WAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl2.50118101182P. Silhan1.50711127113LJul 27 · 21:48P. Silhan2.006580T. Vorisek1.731111113WJul 27 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.73911791P. Silhan2.0011411113WJul 27 · 18:50P. Silhan1.80115611113D. Jicha1.9151111752WJul 23 · 22:35T. Vorisek2.106101171P. Silhan1.6711125113
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