TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Kadavy vs David Bochnak 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811611113113911
David Bochnak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · David Bochnak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 84 set 5, 9-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 68–37 David Bochnak David Bochnak has won 37 of their 105 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kadavy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bochnak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 1.61 / Bochnak 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kadavy)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13190988
Kadavy1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 72 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it85% 52 of 61
Bochnak2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy8wins
AwayBochnak2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy100%3 of 3
AwayBochnak28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy3Bochnak7n = 10Bochnak took 7 of 10
S2Kadavy5Bochnak5n = 10split evenly
S3Kadavy7Bochnak3n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S4Kadavy7Bochnak1n = 8Kadavy took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyBochnakK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.034.4+4.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyBochnakBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 318 vs 358 / 58257.9%61.5%184 / 318 vs 358 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKadavy 1.61/Bochnak 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 16:25O. Kadavy4211911113D. Bochnak33811591
LSep 17 · 15:55O. Kadavy199370D. Bochnak331111113
LSep 14 · 18:55O. Kadavy2110740D. Bochnak341211113
WSep 4 · 18:55O. Kadavy4111811113D. Bochnak24611611
WSep 1 · 18:08O. Kadavy4181111113D. Bochnak36119791
WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy4391111123D. Bochnak381189101
WJul 14 · 16:25O. Kadavy512111113143D. Bochnak49115615122
WJul 12 · 14:55O. Kadavy4211911113D. Bochnak18411031
WJul 10 · 21:25O. Kadavy496111011113D. Bochnak4611712882
WJul 8 · 17:59O. Kadavy4161113113D. Bochnak331151161
O. Kadavy10
WSep 24 · 17:25T. Flicek1.8311116132O. Kadavy1.83681111113WSep 24 · 16:25O. Kadavy1.6111911113D. Bochnak2.20811591LSep 24 · 14:55M. Cerny3.5011911123O. Kadavy1.285115101WSep 21 · 21:58M. Stusek1.7341171142O. Kadavy2.00113115113LSep 21 · 20:55M. Stusek1.83711811153O. Kadavy1.83117118132LSep 21 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.67101111113O. Kadavy2.10128891LSep 21 · 19:25O. Kadavy3.258511101J. Zlamal1.3311113123WSep 17 · 18:05O. Kadavy1.331113113M. Cerny3.2551170LSep 17 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.61612100J. Zacharda2.201114123LSep 17 · 15:55O. Kadavy1.619370D. Bochnak2.201111113
D. Bochnak10
WSep 24 · 16:55M. Cerny1.83791171D. Bochnak1.8311111113LSep 24 · 16:25O. Kadavy1.6111911113D. Bochnak2.20811591WSep 24 · 15:25D. Bochnak1.73611126113T. Flicek2.00117101152LSep 23 · 18:05D. Bochnak1.36118981L. Soucek3.0041111113LSep 23 · 16:55D. Vesecky2.3891211113D. Bochnak1.531110391WSep 23 · 16:25M. Cerny1.9111951182D. Bochnak1.80711118113WSep 23 · 15:25D. Bochnak1.5351111113L. Soucek2.38118291WSep 20 · 22:10M. Brozek2.50911771D. Bochnak1.5011411113LSep 20 · 21:25M. Cerny1.9191112173D. Bochnak1.8011510151WSep 17 · 15:55O. Kadavy1.619370D. Bochnak2.201111113
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