TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Vesecky vs David Bochnak 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
David Vesecky
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111210113119––
David Bochnak
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · David Bochnak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held David Vesecky at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 26–31 David Bochnak David Vesecky has won 26 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:31What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bochnak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-31 in 57
Bochnak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1584 vs Bochnak 1788
Bochnak
Wrong
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 20% vs Bochnak 40%
Bochnak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 30% vs Bochnak 50%
Bochnak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky +1 · Bochnak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Bochnak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bochnak form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 2.38 / Bochnak 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Bochnak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13183251
Vesecky2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 58 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Bochnak1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 131 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it93% 66 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 100 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky3wins
AwayBochnak7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBochnak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeseckyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBochnak87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky2Bochnak8n = 10Bochnak took 8 of 10
S2Vesecky3Bochnak7n = 10Bochnak took 7 of 10
S3Vesecky3Bochnak7n = 10Bochnak took 7 of 10
S4Vesecky2Bochnak4n = 6Bochnak took 4 of 6
S5Vesecky3Bochnak1n = 4Vesecky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyBochnakV − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.340.0−5.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyBochnakBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 646 vs 357 / 58055.1%61.6%356 / 646 vs 357 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakVesecky 2.38/Bochnak 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vesecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky268990D. Bochnak331111113
LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky43411112152D. Bochnak49118211173
LAug 28 · 08:25D. Vesecky31811571D. Bochnak4111811113
LAug 27 · 09:25D. Vesecky348111141D. Bochnak4111613113
WAug 26 · 12:50D. Vesecky483101111133D. Bochnak46111266112
LAug 23 · 12:50D. Vesecky246990D. Bochnak331111113
LAug 10 · 16:55D. Vesecky269890D. Bochnak331111113
WAug 7 · 18:25D. Vesecky46119411113D. Bochnak4561111892
WAug 7 · 16:25D. Vesecky45117115113D. Bochnak4681191172
LAug 1 · 07:25D. Vesecky207760D. Bochnak331111113
D. Vesecky10
WSep 23 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.7311112113L. Soucek2.00281181LSep 23 · 14:55D. Vesecky2.1084111132M. Cerny1.67111188113LSep 23 · 14:02P. Benes1.33111116113D. Vesecky3.25761891LSep 23 · 13:55P. Benes—111116113D. Vesecky—761891LSep 23 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.574450P. Benes2.251111113LSep 23 · 11:55J. Kocab1.441114113D. Vesecky2.6351280LSep 23 · 11:25M. Cerny1.401111113D. Vesecky2.756950WSep 8 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.8011128113J. Zacharda1.919101171LSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky1.53861181P. Benes2.3811117113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Vesecky1.61111110133J. Zacharda2.205912111
D. Bochnak10
LSep 23 · 18:05D. Bochnak1.36118981L. Soucek3.0041111113WSep 23 · 16:25M. Cerny1.9111951182D. Bochnak1.80711118113WSep 23 · 15:25D. Bochnak1.5351111113L. Soucek2.38118291WSep 20 · 22:10M. Brozek2.50911771D. Bochnak1.5011411113LSep 20 · 21:25M. Cerny1.9191112173D. Bochnak1.8011510151LSep 20 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.4481111982J. Zacharda2.63118511113LSep 20 · 18:55M. Brozek2.75116117113D. Bochnak1.4091121172LSep 19 · 14:39D. Bochnak1.5891190M. Cerny2.101113113WSep 19 · 12:55M. Brozek2.63115911102D. Bochnak1.44711113123LSep 19 · 12:25M. Cerny2.1011119123D. Bochnak1.678911101
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