TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Vesecky vs Pavel Benes 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
David Vesecky
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411511––––
Pavel Benes
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:51 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Pavel Benes below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 46 set 3, 5-11 — our read held David Vesecky at 55.8%
46 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 36–17 Pavel Benes Pavel Benes has won 17 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:51What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vesecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-17 in 53
Vesecky
Wrong
gap of 19 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1607 vs Benes 1655
Benes
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 40% vs Benes 20%
Vesecky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 30% vs Benes 50%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky -2 · Benes -3
Benes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vesecky) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 1.57 / Benes 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vesecky)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13180664
Vesecky1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 100 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 64 of 83
Benes2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky6wins
AwayBenes4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVesecky leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVesecky83.3%5 of 6
AwayBenes75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky6Benes4n = 10Vesecky took 6 of 10
S2Vesecky6Benes4n = 10Vesecky took 6 of 10
S3Vesecky5Benes5n = 10split evenly
S4Vesecky2Benes3n = 5Benes took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyBenesV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.132.9+1.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 643 vs 266 / 55855.5%47.7%357 / 643 vs 266 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyVesecky 1.57/Benes 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Vesecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky33861181P. Benes4011117113
LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky189630P. Benes331111113
LSep 1 · 06:55D. Vesecky2671090P. Benes341112113
WAug 31 · 12:55D. Vesecky331111113P. Benes199460
WAug 28 · 10:00D. Vesecky48111510123P. Benes3941312101
WAug 28 · 09:25D. Vesecky4411117153P. Benes333611131
WAug 26 · 10:50D. Vesecky331111113P. Benes186570
WAug 20 · 12:50D. Vesecky341211113P. Benes2610880
LAug 19 · 09:25D. Vesecky27116461P. Benes3741111113
WAug 18 · 14:35D. Vesecky45412117113P. Benes50111091192
D. Vesecky10
LSep 23 · 14:02P. Benes1.33111116113D. Vesecky3.25761891LSep 23 · 13:55P. Benes—111116113D. Vesecky—761891LSep 23 · 11:55J. Kocab1.441114113D. Vesecky2.6351280LSep 23 · 11:25M. Cerny1.401111113D. Vesecky2.756950WSep 8 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.8011128113J. Zacharda1.919101171LSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky1.53861181P. Benes2.3811117113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Vesecky1.61111110133J. Zacharda2.205912111LSep 8 · 10:55D. Vesecky2.20118551M. Cerny1.6191111113WSep 7 · 13:58J. Zacharda2.0021911392D. Vesecky1.731117211113LSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680
P. Benes10
WSep 23 · 14:02P. Benes1.33111116113D. Vesecky3.25761891WSep 23 · 13:55P. Benes—111116113D. Vesecky—761891LSep 23 · 12:25P. Benes3.007460M. Cerny1.361111113LSep 23 · 10:55J. Kocab2.001111113P. Benes1.732980LSep 22 · 14:05V. Nadvornik1.6091211113P. Benes2.201110861WSep 22 · 12:50P. Benes1.8313121011123M. Brozek1.831114129102LSep 22 · 11:20V. Nadvornik1.57821111123P. Benes2.25111199102WSep 22 · 10:50J. Kocab1.918980P. Benes1.801111113WSep 21 · 18:28P. Benes1.8011118123M. Brozek1.919711101WSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky1.53861181P. Benes2.3811117113
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