TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pavel Benes vs David Vesecky 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Pavel Benes
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171161618119––
David Vesecky
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPavel Benes above · David Vesecky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 16-18
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 89 set 4, 11-9
89 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Benes 18–36 David Vesecky Pavel Benes has won 18 of their 54 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Benes beat Vesecky 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vesecky form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.33 / Vesecky 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Benes)+0.5pp
TT Cup · #13183846
Benes1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 77 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it76% 51 of 67
Vesecky3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 58 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenes5wins
AwayVesecky5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenes100%4 of 4
AwayVesecky83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes4Vesecky6n = 10Vesecky took 6 of 10
S2Benes5Vesecky5n = 10split evenly
S3Benes6Vesecky4n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S4Benes2Vesecky2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenesVeseckyB − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.230.9+0.3per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesVeseckyBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 559 vs 356 / 64347.8%55.4%267 / 559 vs 356 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.33/Vesecky 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.4%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 13:25P. Benes331111113D. Vesecky134450
WSep 8 · 12:55P. Benes4011117113D. Vesecky33861181
WSep 2 · 13:25P. Benes331111113D. Vesecky189630
WSep 1 · 06:55P. Benes341112113D. Vesecky2671090
LAug 31 · 12:55P. Benes199460D. Vesecky331111113
LAug 28 · 10:00P. Benes3941312101D. Vesecky48111510123
LAug 28 · 09:25P. Benes333611131D. Vesecky4411117153
LAug 26 · 10:50P. Benes186570D. Vesecky331111113
LAug 20 · 12:50P. Benes2610880D. Vesecky341211113
WAug 19 · 09:25P. Benes3741111113D. Vesecky27116461
P. Benes10
WSep 23 · 13:55P. Benes—111116113D. Vesecky—761891WSep 23 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.574450P. Benes2.251111113LSep 23 · 12:25P. Benes3.007460M. Cerny1.361111113LSep 23 · 10:55J. Kocab2.001111113P. Benes1.732980LSep 22 · 14:05V. Nadvornik1.6091211113P. Benes2.201110861WSep 22 · 12:50P. Benes1.8313121011123M. Brozek1.831114129102LSep 22 · 11:20V. Nadvornik1.57821111123P. Benes2.25111199102WSep 22 · 10:50J. Kocab1.918980P. Benes1.801111113WSep 21 · 18:28P. Benes1.8011118123M. Brozek1.919711101WSep 21 · 17:25J. Kocab2.008450P. Benes1.731111113
D. Vesecky10
LSep 23 · 14:55D. Vesecky2.1084111132M. Cerny1.67111188113LSep 23 · 13:55P. Benes—111116113D. Vesecky—761891LSep 23 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.574450P. Benes2.251111113LSep 23 · 11:55J. Kocab1.441114113D. Vesecky2.6351280LSep 23 · 11:25M. Cerny1.401111113D. Vesecky2.756950WSep 8 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.8011128113J. Zacharda1.919101171LSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky1.53861181P. Benes2.3811117113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Vesecky1.61111110133J. Zacharda2.205912111LSep 8 · 10:55D. Vesecky2.20118551M. Cerny1.6191111113WSep 7 · 13:58J. Zacharda2.0021911392D. Vesecky1.731117211113
Upcoming Matches
P. Benes
Nothing scheduled
D. Vesecky
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