TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Pavel Benes
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191178111210––
Michal Brozek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Benes above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 79 set 4, 12-10
79 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Benes 32–26 Michal Brozek Michal Brozek has won 26 of their 58 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.80 / Brozek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Benes)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13172273
Benes1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 73 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 47 of 63
Brozek1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 68 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenes4wins
AwayBrozek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenes66.7%2 of 3
AwayBrozek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S2Benes6Brozek4n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S3Benes3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S4Benes7Brozek2n = 9Benes took 7 of 9
S5Benes1Brozek3n = 4Brozek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenesBrozekBenes − BrozekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.441.7−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 555 vs 527 / 101347.6%52%264 / 555 vs 527 / 1013Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.80/Brozek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 16:25P. Benes5111991572M. Brozek559111113113
WSep 15 · 07:25P. Benes47681111113M. Brozek4211118662
LSep 14 · 16:25P. Benes32911571M. Brozek3811511113
WSep 7 · 19:55P. Benes4011711113M. Brozek30511681
WSep 3 · 08:25P. Benes45101111133M. Brozek401289111
LSep 1 · 08:55P. Benes46611811102M. Brozek46118114123
LAug 24 · 10:04P. Benes184950M. Brozek331111113
LAug 24 · 08:55P. Benes31811481M. Brozek3611311113
LAug 20 · 10:50P. Benes49101281182M. Brozek521210118113
WAug 15 · 22:28P. Benes4513165113M. Brozek4511141191
P. Benes10
WSep 21 · 17:25J. Kocab2.008450P. Benes1.731111113LSep 21 · 16:25P. Benes1.8311991572M. Brozek1.839111113113WSep 21 · 14:55D. Hyza1.9181070P. Benes1.801112113LSep 17 · 13:28P. Benes1.9181251152J. Kocab1.801110115113WSep 17 · 12:20P. Benes1.73691313113J. Kocab2.001111111192LSep 17 · 11:20P. Benes2.0041050J. Zacharda1.731112113LSep 17 · 10:20P. Benes3.0055111182M. Cerny1.36111159113LSep 15 · 10:30J. Kocab2.00111169113P. Benes1.7343111172LSep 15 · 09:25P. Benes1.67911971J. Kocab2.1011911113WSep 15 · 07:55A. Rek1.614111081P. Benes2.2011912113
M. Brozek10
WSep 21 · 16:55D. Hyza2.00410111172M. Brozek1.73111269113WSep 21 · 16:25P. Benes1.8311991572M. Brozek1.839111113113LSep 21 · 15:25M. Brozek2.5051111912J. Kocab1.50119811113LSep 20 · 22:10M. Brozek2.50911771D. Bochnak1.5011411113LSep 20 · 20:55M. Brozek1.809640J. Zacharda1.911111113LSep 20 · 19:55M. Brozek4.003590M. Cerny1.221111113WSep 20 · 18:55M. Brozek2.75116117113D. Bochnak1.4091121172LSep 19 · 14:10J. Kocab1.451114113M. Brozek2.5551290LSep 19 · 12:55M. Brozek2.63115911102D. Bochnak1.44711113123LSep 19 · 11:55M. Brozek2.2510590J. Kocab1.571211113
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