TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13159827
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Kocab
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151412119––––
Michal Brozek
Away
2.55
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Kocab above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 10-9
Point 61 set 3, 10-9
61 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Kocab 18–9 Michal Brozek Michal Brozek has won 9 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kocab beat Brozek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kocab)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 1.45 / Brozek 2.55
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kocab)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13159827
Kocab1.45
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 51 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Brozek2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 69 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocab8wins
AwayBrozek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKocab leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab100%7 of 7
AwayBrozek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab7Brozek3n = 10Kocab took 7 of 10
S2Kocab5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kocab9Brozek1n = 10Kocab took 9 of 10
S4Kocab6Brozek1n = 7Kocab took 6 of 7
S5Kocab1Brozek2n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocabBrozekK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.531.1+9.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 264 vs 529 / 101347.4%52.2%125 / 264 vs 529 / 1013Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocabKocab 1.45/Brozek 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.4%
Kocab · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 11:55J. Kocab341211113M. Brozek2410590
WSep 15 · 08:25J. Kocab4211911113M. Brozek33911491
WSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab43111011113M. Brozek24512341
WSep 1 · 07:25J. Kocab521091111113M. Brozek4012117462
LAug 28 · 14:25J. Kocab3511141182M. Brozek46117116113
WAug 28 · 13:25J. Kocab351111133M. Brozek2586110
WAug 24 · 07:55J. Kocab341211113M. Brozek1810440
LAug 14 · 20:50J. Kocab51121111892M. Brozek52147911113
WAug 10 · 12:55J. Kocab3711411113M. Brozek24411541
WAug 8 · 09:25J. Kocab4211911113M. Brozek25511541
J. Kocab10
WSep 19 · 13:25J. Kocab3.001011911113M. Cerny1.3612911382WSep 19 · 11:55M. Brozek2.2510590J. Kocab1.571211113LSep 19 · 11:25D. Bochnak1.301111113J. Kocab3.401360WSep 17 · 13:28P. Benes1.9181251152J. Kocab1.801110115113LSep 17 · 12:20P. Benes1.73691313113J. Kocab2.001111111192WSep 17 · 11:50M. Cerny1.28611111082J. Kocab3.50115612113LSep 17 · 10:50J. Kocab1.83311681J. Zacharda1.8311311113WSep 15 · 10:30J. Kocab2.00111169113P. Benes1.7343111172WSep 15 · 09:25P. Benes1.67911971J. Kocab2.1011911113WSep 15 · 08:25J. Kocab1.7311911113M. Brozek2.00911491
M. Brozek10
LSep 19 · 12:55M. Brozek2.63115911102D. Bochnak1.44711113123LSep 19 · 11:55M. Brozek2.2510590J. Kocab1.571211113LSep 19 · 10:55M. Brozek3.758530M. Cerny1.251111113WSep 15 · 09:58M. Brozek1.44116117113A. Rek2.6381191122WSep 15 · 08:55A. Rek2.504990M. Brozek1.501111113LSep 15 · 08:25J. Kocab1.7311911113M. Brozek2.00911491LSep 15 · 07:25M. Brozek1.7311118662P. Benes2.00681111113WSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek1.8011115113D. Hyza1.91761141WSep 14 · 16:25P. Benes1.83911571M. Brozek1.8311511113WSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850
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