TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134501
Played Sep 15Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611119711112
Adam Martin Rek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Adam Martin Rek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 87 set 5, 11-2
87 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 28–13 Adam Martin Rek Adam Martin Rek has won 13 of their 41 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Brozek beat Rek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.44 / Rek 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Brozek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13134501
Brozek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 145 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it86% 80 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it76% 110 of 145
Rek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog56% won 33 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back36% 9 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek7wins
AwayRek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek83.3%5 of 6
AwayRek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek6Rek4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S2Brozek6Rek4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S3Brozek6Rek4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S4Brozek5Rek2n = 7Brozek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekRekB − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.234.0+4.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekRekBasisWin rate · lifetime537 / 1024 vs 310 / 53552.4%57.9%537 / 1024 vs 310 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.44/Rek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek3711510111A. Rek4261112133
WSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek4211911113A. Rek35911961
WSep 5 · 18:55M. Brozek3911116113A. Rek31861161
WAug 30 · 20:25M. Brozek4071111113A. Rek31118931
WAug 20 · 16:55M. Brozek341211113A. Rek1810350
WAug 15 · 20:25M. Brozek331111113A. Rek198650
LAug 7 · 13:49M. Brozek4387111252A. Rek511111810113
LAug 7 · 12:50M. Brozek2712780A. Rek361411113
WJun 14 · 21:20M. Brozek4211128113A. Rek335101171
WJun 14 · 19:20M. Brozek45611116113A. Rek4411941192
M. Brozek10
WSep 15 · 08:55A. Rek2.504990M. Brozek1.501111113LSep 15 · 08:25J. Kocab1.7311911113M. Brozek2.00911491LSep 15 · 07:25M. Brozek1.7311118662P. Benes2.00681111113WSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek1.8011115113D. Hyza1.91761141WSep 14 · 16:25P. Benes1.83911571M. Brozek1.8311511113WSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850WSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123LSep 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.1041111113M. Brozek1.67118651WSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070WSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143
A. Rek10
LSep 15 · 08:55A. Rek2.504990M. Brozek1.501111113LSep 15 · 07:55A. Rek1.614111081P. Benes2.2011912113LSep 15 · 06:55A. Rek1.83261141J. Kocab1.8311118113WSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek1.521112118113O. Fiklik2.35131071182WSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113WSep 11 · 12:25A. Rek1.571111123O. Fiklik2.2565100WSep 11 · 10:55V. Jr2.38611491A. Rek1.5311811113WSep 10 · 13:53J. Vonasek2.207111091A. Rek1.6111712113LSep 10 · 12:55J. Vonasek2.38118411113A. Rek1.5381111692LSep 10 · 12:25V. Nadvornik1.672111110113A. Rek2.1011661262
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.