TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13130354
Played Sep 14Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117116511114––
Daniel Hyza
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 66 set 4, 11-4
66 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 30–35 Daniel Hyza Michal Brozek has won 30 of their 65 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Brozek beat Hyza 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.80 / Hyza 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13130354
Brozek1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 144 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it86% 79 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it76% 109 of 144
Hyza1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek6wins
AwayHyza4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek66.7%4 of 6
AwayHyza50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek6Hyza4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S2Brozek6Hyza4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S3Brozek6Hyza4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S4Brozek3Hyza4n = 7Hyza took 4 of 7
S5Brozek2Hyza2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekHyzaB − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.1+2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1023 vs 237 / 41752.3%56.8%535 / 1023 vs 237 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.80/Hyza 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek331111113D. Hyza163850
WSep 4 · 14:00M. Brozek521111127113D. Hyza45135101162
LSep 4 · 12:50M. Brozek49111310962D. Hyza549111211113
WAug 28 · 11:25M. Brozek43371111113D. Hyza4011118462
LAug 20 · 18:25M. Brozek353119121D. Hyza4111511143
LAug 20 · 16:25M. Brozek3811116282D. Hyza45661111113
LAug 19 · 18:00M. Brozek2661370D. Hyza371115113
WAug 19 · 16:50M. Brozek4111711123D. Hyza324117101
WAug 13 · 15:55M. Brozek331111113D. Hyza187560
WAug 9 · 20:20M. Brozek3711411113D. Hyza33911491
M. Brozek10
WSep 14 · 16:25P. Benes1.83911571M. Brozek1.8311511113WSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850WSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123LSep 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.1041111113M. Brozek1.67118651WSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070WSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek1.4511510111A. Rek2.6061112133WSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113WSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961WSep 9 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011121131M. Brozek1.5013148113
D. Hyza10
WSep 14 · 17:25D. Hyza1.91111012123P. Benes1.8051210101LSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850WSep 13 · 09:28D. Hyza1.831111113J. Kocab1.838380WSep 13 · 08:20J. Kocab1.80119931D. Hyza1.9191111113LSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541LSep 13 · 06:50D. Hyza2.75511841M. Cerny1.4011911113WSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113LSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122
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