TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129254
Played Sep 14Finished
Daniel Hyza
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115101212101210––
Pavel Benes
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Benes to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Pavel Benes below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Pavel Benes at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 12–13 Pavel Benes Daniel Hyza has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Benes
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1664 vs Benes 1737
Benes
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 40% vs Benes 20%
Hyza
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 40% vs Benes 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza -1 · Benes -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.91 / Benes 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benes)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13129254
Hyza1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 18 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Benes1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 72 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 47 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza5wins
AwayBenes5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza50%4 of 8
AwayBenesn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza8Benes2n = 10Hyza took 8 of 10
S2Hyza5Benes5n = 10split evenly
S3Hyza3Benes7n = 10Benes took 7 of 10
S4Hyza3Benes7n = 10Benes took 7 of 10
S5Hyza3Benes2n = 5Hyza took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaBenesH − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.144.0−2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 416 vs 271 / 57156.7%47.5%236 / 416 vs 271 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesHyza 1.91/Benes 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 13:54D. Hyza51117913113P. Benes47611111182
LJul 31 · 12:55D. Hyza26112941P. Benes4071111113
LJul 23 · 08:55D. Hyza4715133792P. Benes5713111111113
WJul 20 · 18:33D. Hyza3711411113P. Benes31611771
LJul 20 · 17:25D. Hyza41111131062P. Benes51891112113
LJul 17 · 13:58D. Hyza27117451P. Benes4291111113
WJul 17 · 12:25D. Hyza52711149113P. Benes47117121162
LJul 14 · 15:50D. Hyza369121051P. Benes44111012113
WJul 10 · 14:04D. Hyza4511139123P. Benes3531111101
WJul 10 · 12:55D. Hyza49114149113P. Benes46511121172
D. Hyza10
LSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek1.8011115113D. Hyza1.91761141LSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850WSep 13 · 09:28D. Hyza1.831111113J. Kocab1.838380WSep 13 · 08:20J. Kocab1.80119931D. Hyza1.9191111113LSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541LSep 13 · 06:50D. Hyza2.75511841M. Cerny1.4011911113WSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113LSep 11 · 11:55V. Jr2.6361111133D. Hyza1.441195111LSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122
P. Benes10
LSep 14 · 16:25P. Benes1.83911571M. Brozek1.8311511113LSep 8 · 14:25M. Cerny1.401111113P. Benes2.808480WSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky1.53861181P. Benes2.3811117113LSep 8 · 12:25M. Cerny1.401111113P. Benes2.755530LSep 8 · 11:25P. Benes1.91511871J. Zacharda1.8011311113LSep 7 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.3311511123P. Benes2.858113101LSep 7 · 21:25P. Benes3.00101171772D. Bochnak1.361281115113WSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113WSep 7 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.50119181P. Benes1.5071111113WSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111
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