TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129200
Played Sep 14Finished
Pavel Benes
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115511711––
Michal Brozek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
911115511711––
H2H Pavel Benes 29–24 Michal Brozek Michal Brozek has won 24 of their 53 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-24 in 53
Benes
Wrong
gap of 5 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Benes 1723 vs Brozek 1762
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benes 20% vs Brozek 80%
Brozek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benes 50% vs Brozek 80%
Brozek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benes -1 · Brozek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.83 / Brozek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brozek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13129200
Benes1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Brozek1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenes4wins
AwayBrozek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenes100%3 of 3
AwayBrozek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S2Benes8Brozek2n = 10Benes took 8 of 10
S3Benes3Brozek7n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S4Benes7Brozek2n = 9Benes took 7 of 9
S5Benes0Brozek4n = 4Brozek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenesBrozekBenes − BrozekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.842.2−2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 560 vs 536 / 102447.3%52.3%265 / 560 vs 536 / 1024Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBenes 1.83/Brozek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 08:55P. Benes46611811102M. Brozek46118114123
LAug 24 · 10:04P. Benes184950M. Brozek331111113
LAug 24 · 08:55P. Benes31811481M. Brozek3611311113
LAug 20 · 10:50P. Benes49101281182M. Brozek521210118113
WAug 15 · 22:28P. Benes4513165113M. Brozek4511141191
WAug 15 · 21:25P. Benes4213135113M. Brozek4111111181
LAug 14 · 18:20P. Benes4041112762M. Brozek491161011113
LAug 10 · 08:25P. Benes47101171182M. Brozek47126117113
WJul 29 · 12:55P. Benes3851111113M. Brozek36118891
WJul 24 · 12:55P. Benes4211911113M. Brozek37911981
P. Benes10
LSep 14 · 17:25D. Hyza1.91111012123P. Benes1.8051210101LSep 8 · 14:25M. Cerny1.401111113P. Benes2.808480WSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky1.53861181P. Benes2.3811117113LSep 8 · 12:25M. Cerny1.401111113P. Benes2.755530LSep 8 · 11:25P. Benes1.91511871J. Zacharda1.8011311113LSep 7 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.3311511123P. Benes2.858113101LSep 7 · 21:25P. Benes3.00101171772D. Bochnak1.361281115113WSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113WSep 7 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.50119181P. Benes1.5071111113WSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111
M. Brozek10
WSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek1.8011115113D. Hyza1.91761141WSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850WSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123LSep 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.1041111113M. Brozek1.67118651WSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070WSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek1.4511510111A. Rek2.6061112133WSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113WSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961LSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113
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